Even now we have entered this phase and we should consider this factor in future analysis, but some data are confirming that the bear market of the euro is not yet over.
Meanwhile, all of the bear markets have had swinging between 20 and 37 figures from the highs (and for now we are at 11, and this makes us think that the oversold is expected to increase in the coming months.
Second point, the monthly MACD. It has been very clever in July to mark the launching of a new bearish phase, and hardly the falling phase of EurUsd will be finished before the signal line falls below zero. There might be an exception in 2006, but honestly that was a correction in a bull market, while we are now into a trend characterized by lower highs now since 2008.
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