|premium|

AUD/USD Forecast: Australian employment data can save the aussie

AUD/USD Current Price: 0.7746

  • Australian Westpac Leading Index improved from 0.12% to 0.26% in January.
  • Australia is expected to have added 40,000 new jobs in January.
  • AUD/USD has little chances of raising as long as it holds below 0.7770.

The AUD/USD pair closed in the red for a second consecutive day, falling intraday to 0.7723. Plummeting gold prices added pressure on the aussie, as the bright metal traded as low as $1,769.40 a troy ounce, its lowest since last November. The American dollar moved alongside US Treasury yields, both easing in the US afternoon.

Australia published the January Westpac Leading Index, which came in at 0.26%, improving from 0.12%. The country will release January employment data early on Thursday and report that 40,000 new jobs were added in the month. The unemployment rate is foreseen at 6.5% down from the previous 6.6%. Upbeat data may underpin the AUD, although enthusiasm should be limited as per RBA’s view.

AUD/USD short-term technical outlook

The AUD/USD pair offers a neutral-to-bearish stance in the near-term and has little chances of rising unless it surpasses the 0.7770 resistance area. The 4-hour chart shows that it´s struggling around its 20 SMA while between the longer ones, as technical indicators turned marginally lower just below their midlines. A lower low for the day, increases the risk of a bearish extension, mainly if the slide extends below 0.7710.

 Support levels: 0.7710 0.7675 0.7630

Resistance levels: 0.7770 0.7815 0.7850  

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds firm near 1.1850 amid USD weakness

EUR/USD remains strongly bid around 1.1850 in European trading on Monday. The USD/JPY slide-led broad US Dollar weakness helps the pair build on Friday's recovery ahead of the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence data for February. 

GBP/USD hovers near 1.3600 as UK government crisis weighs on Pound Sterling

GBP/USD moves sideways after registering modest gains in the previous session, trading around 1.3610 during the European hours on Monday. The pair could come under pressure as the Pound Sterling may weaken amid a fresh government crisis in the United Kingdom.

Gold remains supported by China's buying and USD weakness as traders eye US data

Gold struggles to capitalize on its intraday move up and remains below the $5,100 mark heading into the European session amid mixed cues. Data released over the weekend showed that the People's Bank of China extended its buying spree for a 15th month in January. Moreover, dovish US Fed expectations and concerns about the central bank's independence drag the US Dollar lower for the second straight day, providing an additional boost to the non-yielding yellow metal.

Cardano steadies as whale selling caps recovery

Cardano (ADA) steadies at $0.27 at the time of writing on Monday after slipping more than 5% in the previous week. On-chain data indicate a bearish trend, with certain whales offloading ADA. However, the technical outlook suggests bearish momentum is weakening, raising the possibility of a short-term relief rebound if buying interest picks up.

Japanese PM Takaichi nabs unprecedented victory – US data eyed this week

I do not think I would be exaggerating to say that Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s snap general election gamble paid off over the weekend – and then some. This secured the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) an unprecedented mandate just three months into her tenure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate after massive sell-off

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices consolidated on Monday after correcting by nearly 9%, 8%, and 10% in the previous week, respectively. BTC is hovering around $70,000, while ETH and XRP are facing rejection at key levels. Traders should be cautious: despite recent stabilization, upside recovery for these top three cryptocurrencies is capped as the broader trend remains bearish.