|

WTI tumbles to near $77.00 amid uncertainty ahead of China/US CPI, Fed’s outcome

  • WTI corrects to $77.00 as investors turn cautious ahead of eventful Wednesday.
  • China’s PPI is expected to continue its deflating streak.
  • The Fed is widely anticipated to maintain interest rates steady in the 5.25%-5.50% range.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, declines to near $77.00 in Tuesday’s New York session. The oil price's appeal has remained significantly strong in the past few trading sessions, as investors were upbeat on demand due to the summer vacation season in the Northern Hemisphere.

The black gold recovered sharply after declining to a four-month low near $72.50. That sell-off was driven by the OPEC+ meeting in which members communicated about shrinking production cuts to some extent.

However, uncertainty among investors ahead of the May Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release in the world’s largest and second-largest nations has kept a lid on the Oil price. Investors will keenly focus on China’s annual CPI data, which is estimated to have grown steadily by 0.3%.

Market participants will also pay close attention to annual Producer Price Index (PPI) numbers, which indicate changes in prices set by business owners at their premises. The PPI data is expected to have deflated at a slower pace of 1.8% from the prior reading of 2.5%. It is worth noting that China is the second largest importer of Oil in the world, and strong demand from the region improves the global Oil demand outlook.

Meanwhile, the US inflation data will also be on the radar as investors want to know whether price pressures are progressively declining towards the desired rate of 2%. Signs of inflation remaining stubborn would shrink market speculation for Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts. Currently, investors expect that the Fed will cut interest rates only once this year.

The major event for the market will be the Fed’s interest rate decision on Wednesday. The Fed is expected to remain status-quo with a hawkish interest rates outlook.

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price77.12
Today Daily Change-0.78
Today Daily Change %-1.00
Today daily open77.9
 
Trends
Daily SMA2077.28
Daily SMA5080.33
Daily SMA10079.17
Daily SMA20079.35
 
Levels
Previous Daily High77.94
Previous Daily Low75.03
Previous Weekly High77.36
Previous Weekly Low72.46
Previous Monthly High81.25
Previous Monthly Low76.04
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%76.83
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%76.14
Daily Pivot Point S175.97
Daily Pivot Point S274.05
Daily Pivot Point S373.06
Daily Pivot Point R178.88
Daily Pivot Point R279.86
Daily Pivot Point R381.78

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.