|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Trades close to seven-week high near 158.00

  • USD/JPY rises to a seven-week high near 158.00 amid multiple tailwinds.
  • The US Dollar strengthens as the Fed maintains hawkish guidance on interest rates.
  • The Japanese Yen weakens as BoJ pushes plans for a reduction in bond-buying operations.

The USD/JPY pair jumps to near 158.00 in Monday’s American session. The asset extends its upside as Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish narrative on the interest rate outlook has strengthened the US Dollar (USD) and the postponement of taper tantrum plans by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has weakened the Japanese Yen.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, trades sideways but clings to gains near 105.56. The Fed sees only one rate cut this year as policymakers want to see inflation declining for months.

Meanwhile, investors shifted focus to the United States (US) Retail Sales data for May, which will be published on Tuesday. Monthly Retail Sales are estimated to have increased by 0.3% after remaining flat in April.

The Japanese Yen remains on the backfoot as the BoJ pushes plans of tapering bond-buying operations to the July meeting. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda left interest rates unchanged but didn’t rule out expectations for further policy tightening in July.

USD/JPY trades in a Rising Channel chart formation on a four-hour timeframe in which each corrective move is considered a buying opportunity by market participants. The asset remains above the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near 156.00, suggesting that the overall trend is bullish.

The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers near 60.00. Momentum would lean towards the upside if the oscillator establishes above 60.00.

More upside would appear if the asset breaks above June 14 high at 158.26, which will drive it towards multi-year high of 160.00. Breach of the latter will expose the pair in an unchartered territory.

On the flip side, a breakdown below May 16 low at 153.60 will expose the asst towards May 3 low at 151.86, followed by the psychological support of 150.00.

USD/JPY four-hour chart

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price157.88
Today Daily Change0.49
Today Daily Change %0.31
Today daily open157.39
 
Trends
Daily SMA20156.68
Daily SMA50155.56
Daily SMA100152.66
Daily SMA200150.07
 
Levels
Previous Daily High158.26
Previous Daily Low156.81
Previous Weekly High158.26
Previous Weekly Low155.72
Previous Monthly High157.99
Previous Monthly Low151.86
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%157.7
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%157.36
Daily Pivot Point S1156.71
Daily Pivot Point S2156.04
Daily Pivot Point S3155.27
Daily Pivot Point R1158.16
Daily Pivot Point R2158.93
Daily Pivot Point R3159.6

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast, adopting one of Wall Street’s oldest tools to bolster valuations and distribute revenue. The headline becomes less impressive once the number is opened up.
Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.