USD/CAD remains sideways near 1.3750 as investors shift focus to US Retail Sales data


  • USD/CAD consolidates near 1.3750 with a focus on the US Retail Sales report for May.
  • Investors see the Fed reducing interest rates twice this year against one forecasted by policymakers.
  • The BoC may extend its policy-tightening spell in July.

The USD/CAD pair is slightly up in Monday’s London session but has been trading in a range of 1.3710-1.3780 from Thursday. The Loonie asset struggles to find direction as investors shift focus to the monthly United States (US) Retail Sales data for May, which will be published on Tuesday.

Investors will pay close attention to the US Retail Sales data for fresh cues on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy outlook. The Retail Sales data is a close measure of consumer spending, which provides cues on the inflation outlook. This would give more clarity on the divergence between the Fed’s expectations of one rate cut this year and the two that financial markets are speculating about. Retail Sales are estimated to have expanded by 0.3% after remaining flat in April.

According to the CME FedWatch tool, the possibility of two rate cuts this year is very high and policymakers will start reducing from the September meeting.

Meanwhile, Fed officials continue to argue in favor of cutting interest rates only once this year as they want to see inflation declining for months to gain confidence in lowering interest rates. Fed policymakers remain concerned over reacceleration in price pressures due to premature rate cuts.

On the Canadian Dollar front, investors expect that the Bank of Canada (BoC) will deliver subsequent rate cuts in the July meeting. The BoC became the first among central banks of G-7 nations to start unwinding its restrictive monetary policy framework since the pandemic.

(This story was corrected on June 17 at 12:30 GMT  to say that the USD/CAD has been trading in a range of 1.3710-1.3780 from Thursday, not in a range of 1.710-1.3780)

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price 1.3742
Today Daily Change 0.0009
Today Daily Change % 0.07
Today daily open 1.3733
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.3691
Daily SMA50 1.3691
Daily SMA100 1.3604
Daily SMA200 1.3581
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.3779
Previous Daily Low 1.3728
Previous Weekly High 1.3792
Previous Weekly Low 1.368
Previous Monthly High 1.3783
Previous Monthly Low 1.359
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3747
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.376
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3714
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3695
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3662
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3766
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3798
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3817

 

 

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