|

USD/CAD finds cushion slightly below 1.3700 ahead of US PMI and Canadian Retail Sales

  • USD/CAD witnesses buying interest below 1.3700 as the US Dollar rises further.
  • The Fed is expected to begin lowering interest rates in September.
  • Investors see the Canadian Retail Sales coming out of contraction trajectory.

The USD/CAD pair rebounds strongly after sliding slightly below the crucial support of 1.3700 in Friday’s European session. The Loonie asset recovers as the US Dollar (USD) exhibits strength on prospects that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will lag behind its peers in an attempt to commence its policy-easing process.

Market sentiment remains uncertain as global PMIs have underperformed against expectations. S&P 500 futures have posted some losses in the London session. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, jumps to six-week high near 105.90.

Currently, financial markets expect that the Fed will start reducing interest rates from the September. On the contrary, various central banks including the Bank of Canada (BoC) has already pivoted to policy normalization.

Meanwhile, investors await the preliminary United States (US) S&P Global PMI data for June, which will be published at 13:45 GMT. The Manufacturing and Services PMI are expected to have expanded at a slower pace. The PMI data will indicate the economic health of the economy, which investors expect is off from a strong outlook amid deepening consequences of higher interest rates by the Fed.

On the Loonie front, the Canadian Dollar will dance to the tunes of the Canada’s Retail Sales data for April, which will be published at 12:30 GMT. On month, the Retail Sales are expected to have risen by 0.7% after contracting straight for three months. The Retail Sales data is a measure to consumer spending, which provide cues about the inflation outlook.

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3696
Today Daily Change0.0007
Today Daily Change %0.05
Today daily open1.3689
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3698
Daily SMA501.3698
Daily SMA1001.3615
Daily SMA2001.3584
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3721
Previous Daily Low1.3682
Previous Weekly High1.3792
Previous Weekly Low1.368
Previous Monthly High1.3783
Previous Monthly Low1.359
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3697
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3706
Daily Pivot Point S11.3674
Daily Pivot Point S21.3659
Daily Pivot Point S31.3635
Daily Pivot Point R11.3713
Daily Pivot Point R21.3736
Daily Pivot Point R31.3751

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1750 on first trading day of 2026

EUR/USD stays calm on Friday and trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1750 as trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).