|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD set to refresh yearly low, $25.00 tests the bears

  • Silver fades bounce off five-week low while staying below 100-day SMA.
  • Sustained break of three-month-old support line, bearish MACD also favor sellers.
  • 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level offers a breathing space during the drop to 200-day SMA.

Silver prices remain heavy near late January lows, currently down 0.23% around $25.30, during Friday’s Asian session. The white metal dropped the fresh bottom in multiple days after breaking an ascending trend line from November 30 the previous day.

The bearish bias also gains support from the metal’s failure to recover from recent lows while staying below 100-day SMA amid bearish MACD.

Hence, silver sellers are en route 200-day SMA level of $24.15. Though, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of November 2020 to February 2021 upside, at $25.00, offers immediate support to the quote.

It’s worth mentioning that there are multiple supports around $23.60 for the commodity to break below $24.15 while targeting lows marked during late-2020 near $21.90.

Alternatively, an upside clearance of 100-day SMA, at $25.43 now, needs validation from 50% of Fibonacci retracement and previous support line, respectively around $26.00 and $26.30, before recalling the silver buyers.

Following that, $26.90, the $27.00 threshold and February 23 top near $28.33 will add to the upside filters.

Silver daily chart

Trend: Bearish

additional important levels

Overview
Today last price25.34
Today Daily Change-0.02
Today Daily Change %-0.08%
Today daily open25.36
 
Trends
Daily SMA2027.08
Daily SMA5026.5
Daily SMA10025.42
Daily SMA20024.12
 
Levels
Previous Daily High26.31
Previous Daily Low25.06
Previous Weekly High28.33
Previous Weekly Low26.14
Previous Monthly High30.07
Previous Monthly Low25.9
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%25.54
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%25.83
Daily Pivot Point S124.85
Daily Pivot Point S224.33
Daily Pivot Point S323.6
Daily Pivot Point R126.1
Daily Pivot Point R226.83
Daily Pivot Point R327.34

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains below 1.1750 ahead of ECB policy decision

EUR/USD remains on the back foot below 1.1750 in the European session on Thursday. Traders move to the sidelines and refrain from placing any fresh directional bets on the pair ahead of the ECB policy announcements and the US CPI inflation data. 

GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.3400, awaits BoE and US CPI

GBP/USD oscillates in a narrow band below 1.3400 in European trading on Thursday. The pair trades with caution as markets eagerly await the BoE policy verdict and US consumer inflation data for fresh directional impetus. 

Gold holds losses below $4,350 ahead of US CPI report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's move higher and holds its pullback below $4,350 in the European session on Thursday. The downtick could be attributed to some profit-taking amid a US Dollar bounce. All eyes now remain on the US CPI inflation data. 

BoE set to resume easing cycle, trimming interest rate to 3.75%

The Bank of England will announce its last monetary policy decision of 2025 on Thursday at 12:00 GMT. The market prices a 25-basis-point rate cut, which would leave the BoE’s Bank Rate at 3.75%.

US CPI data expected to show inflation rose slightly to 3.1%, cooling Fed rate cut bets for January

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the all-important Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for November on Thursday at 13:30 GMT. The CPI inflation in the US is expected to rise at an annual rate of 3.1% in November

Dogecoin Price Forecast: DOGE breaks key support amid declining investor confidence

Dogecoin (DOGE) trades in the red on Thursday, following a 4% decline on the previous day. The DOGE supply in profit declines as large wallet investors trim their portfolios. Derivatives data shows a surge in bearish positions amid declining retail interest.