|

NZD/USD pares losses below 0.7300 after China CPI, PPI

  • NZD/USD extends bounce off intraday low, stays pressure for the second consecutive day.
  • China CPI lagged behind upbeat expectations but PPI jumped to the highest since October 2017.
  • Market sentiment dwindles amid reflation fears, stimulus hopes and a light macro feed.

NZD/USD trims intraday losses to 0.21% while picking up bids around 0.7265 during early Tuesday. The kiwi pair recently took clues from China’s headlines inflation figures for April but the risk-off mood keeps the quote pressured for the second consecutive day.

China’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) stepped back from -0.2% forecast to -0.3% MoM, well above -0.5% prior whereas the yearly CPI eased to +0.9% numbers versus +1.0% market consensus but crossing +0.4% previous readouts. However, the Producer Price Index (PPI) rose past 4.4% prior and 6.6% market expectations to the highest since October 2017 as flashing 6.8% numbers.

Read: China CPI 0.9% YoY vs expected 1.0% / PPI 6.8% YoY vs the expected 6.5%

Earlier in the day, New Zealand’s Electronic Card Retail Sales, covering 68% of core Retail Sales of NZ, jumped 108.7% YoY in April versus 5.1% prior. However, the NZD/USD bears take clues from risk catalysts while printing intraday losses.

Despite Friday’s US NFP debacle and the Federal Reserve (Fed) officials’ rejection of tapering, markets aren’t convinced as the flow of stimulus keeps signaling upside risk to inflation, which in turn may force the Fed to dial back some of the easy money measures. As a result, this Wednesday’s US CPI for April becomes the key to watch.

It’s worth mentioning that the US Republican Party members have recently eased their opposition to President Joe Biden’s heavy stimulus, easing the path for more relief packages.

Elsewhere, the coronavirus (COVID-19) woes in Asia remain firm but the vaccine developments help battle the bears.

Moving on, risk-related headlines become the key for near-term NZD/USD direction while Wednesday’s US CPI, expected 3.6% versus 2.6% YoY, will be the key.

Technical analysis

Although 0.7305-10 guards short-term NZD/USD upside, an ascending trend line from early April, around 0.7150, becomes the key support to watch during the pair’s further weakness.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.7262
Today Daily Change-19 pips
Today Daily Change %-0.26%
Today daily open0.7281
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7195
Daily SMA500.714
Daily SMA1000.7167
Daily SMA2000.6959
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7306
Previous Daily Low0.726
Previous Weekly High0.7301
Previous Weekly Low0.7115
Previous Monthly High0.7287
Previous Monthly Low0.6945
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7278
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7288
Daily Pivot Point S10.7259
Daily Pivot Point S20.7236
Daily Pivot Point S30.7213
Daily Pivot Point R10.7305
Daily Pivot Point R20.7328
Daily Pivot Point R30.7351

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD meets support near 0.7150

AUD/USD comes under renewed and quite strong selling pressure ahead of the Asia opening bell on Friday, drifting back toward multi-day troughs near 0.7150, where it seems to have met some decent contention for now. The Aussie’s decline follows the inflation-reignited uptick in the Greenback in response to robust US factory-gate prices in August.


USD/JPY consolidates around 153.50 as bears turn cautious ahead of US inflation

USD/JPY stabilizes above 153.50 during the Asian session on Thursday, but remains near a seven-month low set earlier this week as hawkish BoJ repricing continues to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, rising September Fed rate-hike bets and escalating US-Iran tensions help ease US Dollar selling pressure, offering some support to the currency pair ahead of US inflation figures.

Gold remains weak, retargets $4,350

Gold keeps the choppy price action on Thursday, now slipping back toward the $4,350 region per troy ounce amid the robust bounce in the US Dollar as well as rising US Treasury yields across the curve, particularly following US Producer Prices and ahead of Friday’s more relevant US CPI data.

Bitcoin and Gold Outlook: BTC and XAU drop as US PPI broadens rate-hike bets
Cryptocurrency prices are broadly correcting, led by Bitcoin (BTC), which is trading around $77,000 on Thursday, marking four consecutive days of declines. Meanwhile, Gold (XAU) remains sideways, hovering around $4,365, with upside capped below $4,400.
ECB recap: A hawkish hike despite downside growth risks
The European Central Bank (ECB) increased the Deposit Facility Rate to 2.50%, the Refinancing Rate to 2.65% and the Marginal Lending Facility to 2.90%, effective from September 16. The decision was accompanied by a clear warning that the outlook remains highly uncertain, with risks tilted to the upside for inflation and to the downside for growth.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.