|

NZD/USD drifts lower despite subdued USD demand, NZ Q1 GDP on Thursday in focus

  • NZD/USD meets with a fresh supply on Wednesday and snaps a two-day winning streak.
  • The USD struggles to lure buyers amid September Fed rate cut bets and could lend support.
  • The focus, meanwhile, remains on the release of the Q1 New Zealand GDP print on Thursday.

The NZD/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's goodish rebound from sub-0.6100 levels, or over a one-week low and attracts some sellers during the Asian session on Wednesday. Spot prices currently trade around the 0.6135 region, down 0.10% for the day, though lack follow-through selling in the wake of a softer tone surrounding the US Dollar (USD).

The USD Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, languishes near the weekly low touched the previous day amid expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates soon. The bets were lifted by softer US Retail Sales figures on Tuesday, which pointed to signs of exhaustion among US consumers. This comes on the back of last week's weaker US consumer and producer prices, supporting prospects for an imminent start of the Fed's rate-cutting cycle in September. 

Apart from this, a bullish tone across the global equity markets is seen undermining the safe-haven buck and might lend support to the risk-sensitive Kiwi. That said, mixed economic data released from China on Monday underlined a bumpy recovery in the world's second-largest economy and is seen weighing on antipodean currencies, including the New Zealand Dollar (NZD). Apart from this, comments by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Chief Economist Paul Conway exert pressure on the NZD/USD pair. 

Conway noted that inflation may be stickier in the short term, though could fall more quickly than expected in the medium term. This, in turn, could keep bullish traders on the back foot ahead of the New Zealand economic growth data for the first quarter, which is due for release on Thursday. In the meantime, the USD price dynamics might continue to influence the NZD/USD pair in the absence of any relevant market-moving economic data and relatively thin trading volumes on the back of a US bank holiday on Wednesday.

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6137
Today Daily Change-0.0006
Today Daily Change %-0.10
Today daily open0.6143
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6146
Daily SMA500.605
Daily SMA1000.607
Daily SMA2000.6063
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6149
Previous Daily Low0.6096
Previous Weekly High0.6222
Previous Weekly Low0.6099
Previous Monthly High0.6171
Previous Monthly Low0.5875
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6129
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6116
Daily Pivot Point S10.611
Daily Pivot Point S20.6076
Daily Pivot Point S30.6057
Daily Pivot Point R10.6163
Daily Pivot Point R20.6182
Daily Pivot Point R30.6216

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.