|

Nvidia stock recovered on Friday as coming chip curbs on China seem less strict

  • Bloomberg reports that new chip curbs on China might be less strict.
  • The rules are set to be released next week by the outgoing Biden administration.
  • Equipment makers like Lam Research and Applied Materials are said to be less affected.
  • NVDA stock rose more than 2% on Friday after falling most of the week.

Following a dismal week of trading for Nvidia (NVDA), shares of the leading designer of chips used in artificial intelligence (AI) computing rose more than 2%. The basis for the market’s renewed interest is a Bloomberg article showing that government curbs on advanced chip sales to the Chinese market might be watered down compared with earlier predictions.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), of which Nvidia is a member, advanced 0.42% as the wider market gained ground. This was about half the advance of the NASDAQ on Friday.

Nvidia stock news

A Bloomberg article on Friday reported that Biden administration officials had watered down a harsher earlier version of a final executive order for limiting China’s access to certain chips and equipment used to make those chips.

Originally, a total of six suppliers to Huawei were to be added to a trade restriction list. However, ChangXin Memory Technologies has now been stricken from that list, according to anonymous sources in the Bloomberg story. Others may not make the list either.

ChangXin is working on making AI-enabled memory technologies. Officials in Washington have faced intense lobbying from US chip equipment makers, as well as other important firms in the Netherlands and Japan, according to the article.

Those foreign firms are said to be Tokyo Electron and ASML, but also US firms KLA Corp (KLAC), Applied Materials (AMAT) and Lam Research (LRCX). The latter US firms had said earlier versions of the rules would put them at an unfair disadvantage.

The new rules, expected to be released next week by the outgoing Biden administration, would also place new curbs on Chinese chip equipment makers instead of Chinese chip makers. This would allow the chip makers to continue buying equipment from US manufacturers.

Taiwan’s Foxconn has recently denied that it will face major headwinds from proposed tariffs stemming from the incoming Donald Trump administration. One of the world’s largest contract manufacturers, Foxconn is currently building a large plant in Mexico to fabricate Nvidia’s GB200 AI servers. 

President-elect Trump has said he wishes to add 25% tariffs to goods coming from Mexico but then seemed to change his mind after a call with Mexico’s new leader, President Claudia Sheinbaum.

Though it might not be related, Foxconn spent more than $30 million to procure new land and factory buildings in Texas this month.

Nvidia stock forecast

After trending lower most of the week following last week's earnings induced sell-off, Nvidia stock took back some of those losses. NVDA stock lost 2.65% for the week, which was much better than it looked around lunchtime on Wednesday. The previous week they chalked up a new all-time high of $152.89 in the leadup to earnings.

Following Wednesday's Doji daily candlestick, Friday's gains could mean that next week turns into another rally back toward that all-time high. The low $130s now look like support and NVDA is back above the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). If next week sees more weakness, then the 100-day SMA near $126 sits right below for comfort.

NVDA daily stock chart

Author

Clay Webster

Clay Webster

FXStreet

Clay Webster grew up in the US outside Buffalo, New York and Lancaster, Pennsylvania. He began investing after college following the 2008 financial crisis.

More from Clay Webster
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.