|

Gold Price Forecast: XAUUSD bulls look to $1,741 and $1,750 ahead of Fed – Confluence Detector

  • Gold price finds renewed demand as the critical Fed week kicks in.
  • The US dollar fades its rebound, Treasury yields remain vulnerable.  
  • XAUUSD sees additional recovery, with eyes on the $1,750 barrier.

Gold price is fluctuating between losses and gains so far this Monday, as investors remain on a cautious footing ahead of this week’s Fed rate hike decision and the US Q2 GDP release. Recession fears are rife after the euro area and the US preliminary S&P Global business PMIs disappointed last Friday. The US bond markets were on a roll higher, which boosted the bullion at the expense of the Treasury yields. Gold traders also remain unnerved, with a slew of earnings reports from the US tech titans, such as Apple Inc. and Alphabet Inc, due on the cards. Investors also look forward to the US Durable Goods data while the Fed is set to hike rates by 75 bps on Wednesday.

Also read: Gold Price Forecast: Will XAUUSD sustain the recovery above $1,700?

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluence Detector shows that the gold price is eyeing a sustained move above the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day at $1,730.

The next upside target is seen at the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day at $1,733. The previous day’s high of $1,739 could then cap the XAUSUD recovery.

Further up, bulls will challenge the pivot point one-day R1 at $1,741 on their way to $1,750 – a psychological barrier.

Alternatively, buyers remain hopeful so long as the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week support of $1,726 is defended.

Bears will then attack the critical Fibonacci 61.8% one-day cushion at $1722.   

The confluence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week and SMA10 one-day at $1,718 will come to buyers’ rescue.

Friday’s low and the SMA5 one-day at $1,713 will be the level to beat for XAU sellers.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.