|

Gold Price Forecast: XAUUSD bulls look to $1,741 and $1,750 ahead of Fed – Confluence Detector

  • Gold price finds renewed demand as the critical Fed week kicks in.
  • The US dollar fades its rebound, Treasury yields remain vulnerable.  
  • XAUUSD sees additional recovery, with eyes on the $1,750 barrier.

Gold price is fluctuating between losses and gains so far this Monday, as investors remain on a cautious footing ahead of this week’s Fed rate hike decision and the US Q2 GDP release. Recession fears are rife after the euro area and the US preliminary S&P Global business PMIs disappointed last Friday. The US bond markets were on a roll higher, which boosted the bullion at the expense of the Treasury yields. Gold traders also remain unnerved, with a slew of earnings reports from the US tech titans, such as Apple Inc. and Alphabet Inc, due on the cards. Investors also look forward to the US Durable Goods data while the Fed is set to hike rates by 75 bps on Wednesday.

Also read: Gold Price Forecast: Will XAUUSD sustain the recovery above $1,700?

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluence Detector shows that the gold price is eyeing a sustained move above the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day at $1,730.

The next upside target is seen at the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day at $1,733. The previous day’s high of $1,739 could then cap the XAUSUD recovery.

Further up, bulls will challenge the pivot point one-day R1 at $1,741 on their way to $1,750 – a psychological barrier.

Alternatively, buyers remain hopeful so long as the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week support of $1,726 is defended.

Bears will then attack the critical Fibonacci 61.8% one-day cushion at $1722.   

The confluence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week and SMA10 one-day at $1,718 will come to buyers’ rescue.

Friday’s low and the SMA5 one-day at $1,713 will be the level to beat for XAU sellers.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.