|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD grinds near $1,970 amid Fed concerns, debt ceiling woes – Confluence Detector

  • Gold Price remains sidelined around key support confluence as markets await for Fed Minutes, US debt ceiling extension.
  • Anxiety ahead of the key data/events prods XAU/USD traders amid mixed clues.
  • Hawkish Fed bets, hopes of no US default underpin bearish bias about the Gold price.

Gold Price (XAU/USD) treads water around $1,975 heading into Wednesday’s European session. In doing so, the precious metal portrays the market’s inaction amid mixed feelings and cautious mood ahead of the key data/events. That said, the Gold Price previously cheered the US Dollar’s retreat amid a deadlock in the talks to resolve the debt ceiling problem. Also likely to prod the US Dollar bulls is the latest retreat in the US Treasury bond yields amid mixed US PMIs, mostly upbeat.

It should be observed that the market sentiment remains sluggish ahead of the US debt ceiling talks and Minutes of the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Monetary Policy Meeting.

Also read: Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds within familiar level ahead of FOMC Minutes

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

Our Technical Confluence Indicator signals that the Gold price seesaws around $1,970 support confluence comprising a middle band of the Bollinger on four-hour, Fibonacci 38.2% on one day and 23.6% on one-week.

In a case where the Gold Price remains bearish past $1,970, the odds of witnessing a slump toward the late swing low of $1,934 can’t be ruled out.

However, the lower band of the Bollinger on the Daily chart, around $1,950, may act as an intermediate halt during the XAU/USD’s fall between $1,970 and $1,934.

Alternatively, Pivot Point one-day R1 and the upper line of the Bollinger on the four-hour chart, around $1,985, caps the immediate upside of the Gold price.

Following that, Fibonacci 61.8% on one-week, around $1,997, will precede the $2,000 round figure to prod the XAU/USD buyers.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps range near mid-0.7100s as USD bulls await US CPI

AUD/USD steadies near mid-0.7100s in the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's sharp decline to an over one-week low. The August PPI report reaffirmed Fed rate-hike bets and boosted the US Dollar on Thursday, which weighed heavily on the pair. However, hawkish RBA expectations limited losses for the Aussie as USD bulls now await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing fresh bets.

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00; looks to US CPI

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00 in the Asian session on Friday after hot Japanese PPI data bolster a more hawkish BoJ repricing and provide fresh impetus to the Japanese Yen. However, the downside appears capped as the US Dollar preserves overnight gains ahead of the latest US consumer inflation data.

Gold: Gains remain capped by $4,400

Gold regains composure and trades with decent gains on Friday, managing to refocus attention on the $4,440 mark per ounce troy. Therefore, the precious metal reverses Thursday’s decline as the US Dollar alternates gains with losses at the end of the week.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP extends decline as returning ETF inflows fail to lift outlook
Ripple (XRP) falls below $1.33 on Friday, marking the third consecutive day of declines. The token continues to track the broader cryptocurrency market downturn, with investors closely monitoring heightened macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and next week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.
Weekly focus – The hawks set the tone
Risky assets came under pressure this week as energy prices kept creeping higher and the ECB surprised the markets with a hawkish tone. The price of Brent crude touched USD 110 per barrel on Thursday night, highest since mid-May, as news emerged that the Yemeni Houthis had reached control of key port cities and islands near the Bab el-Mandeb strait.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.