|

GBP/USD makes recovery-attempts above 50-DMA

The GBP/USD pair is trying hard to extend the recovery above 1.2430 regions, as the bears continue to fight for control amid prevalent risk-off market environment.

The cable was knocked-off to fresh 2-week lows at 1.2392 after the pound met heavy supply pre-Tokyo, as the GBP markets reacted negatively to the weekend’s story reported by the UK Times, citing that the UK PM May and Nicola Sturgeon are preparing to call in a new Scotland independence referendum in March, but only after Theresa May triggers the Article 50.

The British currency emerged the weakest across the fx space in Asia, helping the USD index to keep 101 handle.  Adding to the downside in the major, the treasury yields made a comeback from Friday’s declines fuelled by Trump’s lack of clarity on the tax reforms.

Looking ahead, markets will continue to assess the likelihood of another Scottish referendum, which will keep the GBP largely undermined. While the US datasets and Fedspeak could have some impact on the spot ahead of Tuesday’s Trump’s speech before the Congress.

GBP/USD Levels to consider            

At 1.2425, the resistances are aligned at 1.2441 (100-DMA) and 1.2460 (5-DMA) and below that at 1.2475 (20-DMA). On the flip side, the supports are lined up at 1.2392 (2-week low) and 1.2371 (daily S1) and below that at 1.2350 (psychological levels).

1 Week
Avg Forecast 1.2509
100.0%92.0%71.0%070758085909510000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 71% Bullish
  • 21% Bearish
  • 7% Sideways
Bias Bullish
1 Month
Avg Forecast 1.2279
100.0%74.0%21.0%0203040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 21% Bullish
  • 53% Bearish
  • 26% Sideways
Bias Bearish
1 Quarter
Avg Forecast 1.2174
100.0%70.0%8.0%0010203040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 8% Bullish
  • 62% Bearish
  • 29% Sideways
Bias Bearish

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.