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GBP/JPY retreats below 200.00 despite BoJ postponing taper tantrum plans

  • GBP/JPY surrenders BoJ-led gains and drops below 200.00.
  • The BoJ left interest rates steady and postponed taper tantrum plans.
  • Steady UK wage growth remains a key barrier to BoE’s move towards policy-normalization.

The GBP/JPY pair falls back below the psychological support of 200.00 to 199.50 in Friday’s European session after posting a fresh multi-year high of 201.62. The cross weakens even though the Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept overnight rates in the range of 0%-0.1%. The BoJ was already expected to keep interest rates unchanged, however, the postponement of decision on tapering bond-buying to the July meeting was unexpected.

At the conclusion of the policy meeting, BoJ Ueda said the bank would continue buying government bonds. However, earlier this month, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda emphasized on reducing bond purchases in a manner to move forward towards their agenda of exiting expansionary policy stance.

This has raised concerns over scope of BoJ’s policy-normalization. Investors are already concerned over the same as price pressures in the Japanese economy are majorly driven by competitive exports due to weak Yen and not from the wage-growth spiral.

In the United Kingdom (UK), uncertainty over Bank of England (BoE) rate cuts has deepened due to steady wage growth that fuels service inflation, and poor economic health and labor demand.

The UK economic recovery appears to have stalled as monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) remained stagnant in April. Also, the labor market is facing lay-offs consistently from past four times. This indicates that the economy is struggling to bear the consequences of higher interest rates by the BoE. Currently, financial markets are split between August or September meeting about when the BoE will start reducing interest rates.

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price199.56
Today Daily Change-0.85
Today Daily Change %-0.42
Today daily open200.41
 
Trends
Daily SMA20199.57
Daily SMA50196.05
Daily SMA100192.84
Daily SMA200188.27
 
Levels
Previous Daily High201.32
Previous Daily Low199.7
Previous Weekly High200.65
Previous Weekly Low197.21
Previous Monthly High200.75
Previous Monthly Low191.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%200.31
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%200.7
Daily Pivot Point S1199.63
Daily Pivot Point S2198.85
Daily Pivot Point S3198.01
Daily Pivot Point R1201.25
Daily Pivot Point R2202.1
Daily Pivot Point R3202.88

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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