|

Forex Today: Will the BoJ surprise markets?

The Greenback could not sustain the optimism seen during the Asian trading hours, eventually surrendering that advance and ending the day with marked losses as investors assessed the prospects of further easing by the Fed in the months to come.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, September 20:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) maintained its bearish mood post-FOMC and revisited the 100.50 zone. The Fed’s Harker is only due to speak at the end of the week.

EUR/USD added to Wednesday’s uptick and revisited the 1.1180 region following increasing selling pressure in the US Dollar. The ECB’s Lagarde speaks on Friday, along with the release of the flash Consumer Confidence in the broader Euroland. In addition, Germany will release August’s Producer Prices.

GBP/USD surpassed the 1.3300 barrier for the first time since March 2022 on the back of the cautious hold by the BoE and further USD-selling. Retail Sales will be at the centre of the debate, seconded by Public Sector Net Borrowing and the GfK’s Consumer Confidence gauge.

The prevailing appetite for the risk-linked galaxy kept the Japanese Yen on the back foot and sponsored a move to around 144.00 in USD/JPY. An interesting docket in “The Land of the Rising Sun” will feature the BoJ meeting, followed by the Inflation Rate and weekly Foreign Bond Investment figures.

AUD/USD advanced for the fourth session in a row and finally managed to trespass the 0.6800 barrier to print new YTD highs on Thursday. The next relevant release Down Under will be the preliminary Judo Bank Manufacturing and Services PMIs on September 23.

Prices of the American reference WTI rose to two-week tops past the $71.00 mark per barrel following the widespread upbeat tone in the risk complex post-Fed’s rate cut.

Gold prices remained close to the all-time highs around the $2,600 mark per ounce troy, advancing markedly after two consecutive days of losses. Silver prices followed suit and climbed to new two-month highs past the $31.00 mark per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD steadies near 1.1650 ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls

EUR/USD holds ground after five days of losses, trading around 1.1650 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders remain cautious ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report, which is expected to offer further insight into labor market conditions and the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook. December NFP is forecast to show job gains of 60,000, down from 64,000 in November.

GBP/USD: Further weakness could challenge 1.3400

GBP/USD remains under unabated selling pressure on Thursday, slipping to fresh three-day lows around 1.3415 in response to further improvement in the sentiment surrounding the Greenback ahead of Friday’s key NFP data.

Gold defends $4,450, looks to the crucial US NFP report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's goodish move up from the vicinity of the $4,400 mark and attracts some sellers while defending $4,450 in the Asian session on Friday. The critical US employment details will offer more cues about the Fed's rate-cut path, which, in turn, will influence the US Dollar price dynamics and provide a fresh impetus to the non-yielding bullion. 

Forecasts for Payrolls are all over the place

Yesterday’s data put the kybosh on the idea the Fed needs to cut rates fairly urgently to protect the labor market. The jobs component of the ISM services index was nicely over 50, and that rising JOLTS voluntary quits rate also points to no real heartache in labor.

2026 economic outlook: Clear skies but don’t unfasten your seatbelts yet

Most years fade into the background as soon as a new one starts. Not 2025: a year of epochal shifts, in which the macroeconomy was the dog that did not bark. What to expect in 2026? The shocks of 2025 will not be undone, but neither will they be repeated.

XRP slides as institutional and retail demand falters

Ripple is trading down for the third consecutive day on Thursday amid escalating volatility in the cyrptocurrency market. After peaking at $2.41 on Tuesday, its highest print since November 14 amid the early-year rally, XRP has quickly ran into aggressive profit-taking.

Forex Today: Will the BoJ surprise markets?