|

Forex Today: US data and FOMC should dictate the price action

The Greenback traded slightly on the defensive against the backdrop of another session of muted price action in the FX galaxy. In the meantime, Chief Powell and President Lagarde left no room for surprises at their discussion panel at the ECB Forum. Meanwhile, investors get ready for a slew of US data releases on Wednesday, along with the FOMC Minutes, prior to the US Independence Day holiday and the UK general elections on July 4.

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, July 3:

The USD Index (DXY) maintained its bearish stance in place for the fourth session in a row, although navigating tight ranges and always below the 106.00 hurdle. A busy calendar on July 3 will see the release of weekly Mortgage Applications in the first turn, seconded by the ADP Employment Change and Balance of Trade. In addition, Initial Jobless Claims come later prior to the final S&P Global Services PMI, Factory Orders, the ISM Services PMI and the FOMC Minutes.

EUR/USD advanced modestly and revisited the 1.0750 zone amidst a generalized muted price action in the global markets. On July 3, the ECB Forum will enter its third day, while the final HCOB Services PMI in Germany and the broader euro bloc are due.

Everything was flat but GBP/USD on Tuesday, as the pair managed to print marked gains and extend its recovery for the fourth consecutive session. The final S&P Global Services PMI will be released on July 3.

USD/JPY advanced marginally on Tuesday, although it was enough to clinch another multi-decade top in the 161.70–161.75 band. The final print of the Jibun Bank Services PMI is expected on July 3.

AUD/USD remained sidelined in the sub-0.6700 region, managing to partially fade the negative start to the week. In Oz, the Ai Group Industry Index is due on July 3, ahead of the final Judo Bank Services PMI and preliminary readings of Building Permits and Retail Sales.

Prices of WTI rose to fresh three-month highs north of the $84.00 mark per barrel, just to give away all those gains and return to the sub-$83.00 region towards the end of the NA session on Tuesday.

Prices of Gold navigated a narrow range near $2,330 per ounce troy amidst the broader consolidative phase in place since mid-May. Silver, on the flip side, printed acceptable gains and extended its recovery for yet another session, retargeting the key $30.00 mark per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.