|

Forex Today: Powell pummels the dollar with patient call, all eyes on US GDP

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, July 29:

The dollar is down after the Fed seems to be in no rush to taper bond buys, providing support to stocks and gold. The first release of US GDP is in the spotlight on Thursday. Covid continues spreading in the US and also bumping up in the UK. Cryptocurrencies have stabilized on higher ground. 

Tapering can wait: The Federal Reserve has left its policy unchanged as expected and said it would consider adjusting its bond-buying scheme in "coming meetings." It continues seeing inflation as transitory and Fed Chair Jerome Powell characterized "substantial further progress" in the labor market as still "a ways off." 

While Powell seemed less worried about the economic impact of the Delta covid variant, he refused to provide any comment about the Fed's next big even – the Jackson Hole Symposium. With the lack of urge to decrease the bank's $120 billion/month purchases of bonds, the dollar dropped sharply across the board.

EUR/USD is hovering around 1.1860, the highest in two weeks and as coronavirus cases continue moving up in the old continent. Germay's employment figures are eyed. 

GBP/USD is hovering well above 1.39, the highest since June, despite a bump up in covid cases in the UK, breaking a seven-day streak of drops. Nevertheless, UK infections are off the peak. 

In stock markets, Facebook's results and projections somewhat disappointed, but Chinese authorities continue easing pressures on tech companies after Beijing's crackdown on several firms early in the week. The overall mood in global markets is positive. AUD/USD is trading closer to 0.74.

USD/CAD is changing hands below 1.24, benefiting from the risk-on mood, and the rise of WTI Crude Oil to around $73 and after Canada reported mixed results. 

The highlight of the day is America's first release of Gross Domestic Product data for the second quarter. Economists expect bumper annualized growth of 8.6%. 

See US Q2 GDP Preview: Economy to continue to expand at strong pace, eyes on FOMC

Deal: A bipartisan group of Senators and the White House reached an agreement on a $1 trillion infrastructure spending bill. The legislation still has additional hurdles to pass and Democrats are already mulling an additional, larger package. 

Cryptocurrencies have been consolidating their gains, with Bitcoin clinging to $40,000 and Ethereum around $2,300. 

More Analyzing inter-market correlations to see if reflation trade is coming to an end – July 2021

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Breaking: US Trump strikes Venezuela, claims President Maduro was captured and flown out of the country

United States (US) President Donald Trump has fulfilled his threats and finally struck Venezuela. Different media reports that explosions in Caracas began around 1:50 am local time on Saturday, leaving multiple areas of the city without power.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).