|

Forex Today: Markets will closely follow the PCE data and German inflation

The US Dollar traded with a tepid downside bias amid lower yields and further investors’ assessment of Wednesday’s hawkish hold by the Federal Reserve, while the release of Friday’s PCE also prompted some caution.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, January 31:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) remained inconclusive below the 108.00 mark and amid shrinking US yields. The publication of PCE figures will gather all the attention, seconded by Personal Income/Spending, the Chicago PMI, Employment Cost index and the speech by the Fed’s Bowman.

EUR/USD hovered around the low-1.0400s, up slightly, after the ECB lowered its key rates by 25 bps, as expected. Germany’s flash Inflation Rate takes centre stage, followed by the jobs report and Retail Sales. In addition, the ECB will release its Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF).

GBP/USD added to Wednesday’s uptick and advanced modestly, briefly revisiting the 1.2480 zone. The Nationwide Housing Prices will be the only release across the Channel.

USD/JPY dropped markedly to three-day lows in the sub-154.00 region, adding to the previous day’s pullback. Japan’s Unemployment Rate, Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Housing Starts, Construction Orders, and Tokyo Inflation Rate are expected at the end of the week.

AUD/USD managed well to regain balance and set aside three consecutive daily pullbacks, retesting the 0.6250 zone. Producer Prices, Housing Credit figures and Private Sector Credit results are all due in Oz.

WTI oil dropped further and challenged the $72.00 mark per barrel, or four-week lows, on the back of steady concerns surrounding the US tariffs narrative.

Gold prices regained the uptrend and advanced to a record high just below the key $2,800 mark per ounce troy. Silver prices rallied past the $31.00 mark per ounce for the first time since early December.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD flirts with 0.7000, lowest since early August amid bullish USD

AUD/USD hits a fresh low since early August during the Asian session on Friday and looks vulnerable near 0.7000 after breaking below the 200-day SMA overnight. Against the backdrop of the hawkish Fed, a two-day rally in oil prices revives inflation fears and continues to push US bond yields to multi-year highs. Adding to this, geopolitical risks lift the US Dollar to a two-month high, overshadowing RBA rate hike bets and weighing on the pair.

USD/JPY pulls back from three-week high after failing near 159.00

USD/JPY edges lower during the Asian session on Friday, stalling its recent strong move to a three-week high of 159.00 as Japanese Yen bears turn cautious amid intervention fears. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a strong bullish undertone as the Fed's hawkish outlook and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to multi-year peaks. Furthermore, the BoJ's dovish rate hike last week might cap JPY and support spot prices.

Gold treads water below $4,300

Gold grabs some buying attention and advances marginally at the end of the week, partially retracing the weekly decline, although it is still navigating below the key $4,300 mark per troy ounce. The fresh selling bias on the Greenback and the modest decline in US Treasury yields appear to support the humble advance in the precious metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin and Ethereum edge lower, XRP extends recovery as macro headwinds weigh

The broader cryptocurrency market is consolidating on Friday, with Bitcoin paring losses slightly above $84,000. Ethereum declines in tandem with BTC. Ripple (XRP), meanwhile, paints a different picture.



Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which
The Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.
Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.