|

Forex Today: Markets will closely follow the PCE data and German inflation

The US Dollar traded with a tepid downside bias amid lower yields and further investors’ assessment of Wednesday’s hawkish hold by the Federal Reserve, while the release of Friday’s PCE also prompted some caution.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, January 31:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) remained inconclusive below the 108.00 mark and amid shrinking US yields. The publication of PCE figures will gather all the attention, seconded by Personal Income/Spending, the Chicago PMI, Employment Cost index and the speech by the Fed’s Bowman.

EUR/USD hovered around the low-1.0400s, up slightly, after the ECB lowered its key rates by 25 bps, as expected. Germany’s flash Inflation Rate takes centre stage, followed by the jobs report and Retail Sales. In addition, the ECB will release its Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF).

GBP/USD added to Wednesday’s uptick and advanced modestly, briefly revisiting the 1.2480 zone. The Nationwide Housing Prices will be the only release across the Channel.

USD/JPY dropped markedly to three-day lows in the sub-154.00 region, adding to the previous day’s pullback. Japan’s Unemployment Rate, Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Housing Starts, Construction Orders, and Tokyo Inflation Rate are expected at the end of the week.

AUD/USD managed well to regain balance and set aside three consecutive daily pullbacks, retesting the 0.6250 zone. Producer Prices, Housing Credit figures and Private Sector Credit results are all due in Oz.

WTI oil dropped further and challenged the $72.00 mark per barrel, or four-week lows, on the back of steady concerns surrounding the US tariffs narrative.

Gold prices regained the uptrend and advanced to a record high just below the key $2,800 mark per ounce troy. Silver prices rallied past the $31.00 mark per ounce for the first time since early December.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD regains balance, targets 1.1800

EUR/USD has lost a bit of momentum after its earlier push higher and is now attempting to reclaim the key 1.1800 barrier on Monday. In the meantime, investors remain focused on the evolving US–EU trade relationship after President Trump’s announcement of sweeping global tariff hikes.

GBP/USD recedes from tops, back to 1.3500

GBP/USD is extending its move higher on Monday, meeting some resistance around 1.3530 on the back of the widespread bearish tone in the US Dollar amid ongoing uncertainty around tariffs. For now, traders are watching overall risk sentiment and central bank rhetoric for the next directional cue.

Gold advances to four-week highs, focus is on $5,200

Gold is holding onto its bullish tone on Monday, hovering near monthly highs well above the $5,100 mark per troy ounce. Fresh trade-war concerns, coupled with rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, are keeping demand for the yellow metal well on the rise.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP intensify sell-off as tariff uncertainty weighs

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are trading amid increasing selling pressure at the time of writing on Monday, as investors react to fresh trade uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s push for more tariffs.

Supreme Court nixes tariffs, Trump teases 15% global tariff

On February 20th, the Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s global tariffs under IEEPA authority were unconstitutional, effectively nullifying the framework. However, the relief was short-lived. Within hours, Trump floated a 15% blanket tariff under an alternative legal authority.

XRP recovers slightly as bearish sentiment dominates crypto market

Ripple is rising above $1.40 at the time of writing on Monday amid fresh tariff-triggered headwinds in the broader cryptocurrency market. The sell-off to $1.33, the token’s intraday low, can be attributed to macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions and risk-averse sentiment among other factors.