|

Forex Today: Markets remain choppy ahead of key US data releases

Here is what you need to know on Friday, February 24:

Although the US Dollar managed to stay resilient against its major rivals on Thursday, it seems to have lost its bullish momentum on the last trading day of the week. The US Bureau of Economic Analysis' (BEA) Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data, the US Federal Reserve's preferred gauge of inflation, will be featured in the US economic docket alongside Personal Spending and Personal Income figures for February. January New Home Sales data and Fedspeak will also be watched closely by market participants.

US PCE Inflation Preview: Can the US Dollar turn bullish for good?

The BEA announced on Thursday that it revised the annualized real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for the fourth quarter to 2.7% from 2.9%. On a positive note, weekly Initial Jobless Claims stayed below 200,000 for the sixth straight week, reminding investors of tight labor market conditions. The US Dollar Index (DXY) edged higher after this data but the improving market mood, as reflected by considerable gains in Wall Street's main indexes, limited the DXY's upside. Meanwhile, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury Bond yield lost nearly 1% on Thursday and declined below 3.9% early Friday.

US Core PCE Inflation Preview: US Dollar selling opportunity? Three reasons to expect a slide.

EUR/USD registered small losses on Thursday. The pair stays in a consolidation phase at around 1.0600 in the early European session. The data from Germany revealed that the GDP contracted by 0.4% on a quarterly basis in the fourth-quarter, compared to the initial estimate of -0.2%.

Following some fluctuations during the Asian trading hours, USD/JPY holds steady below 135.00 in the European morning. Incoming Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Friday that the weak Japanese Yen was good for exports, inbound tourism and some service sectors. Ueda, however, also acknowledged that the weak Yen was impacting household negatively. "We would need to normalize policy if inflation makes headway towards 2% target," Ueda further noted.

GBP/USD closed the second straight in negative territory on Thursday but managed to hold above 1.2000. The pair stays relatively quiet early Friday.

Gold price touched its lowest level of 2023 below $1,820 on Thursday but erased its daily losses amid retreating US T-bond yields. XAU/USD moves sideways at around $1,825 on Friday.

Bitcoin declined for the third straight day on Thursday and continued to edge lower early Friday. BTC/USD was last seen trading at around $23,900. Ethereum registered small losses on Thursday but lost its recovery momentum near $1,700. In the European morning on Friday, ETH/USD trades flat on the day at $1,650.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD stays defensive near 1.3450 amid Mideast uncertainty

GBP/USD drifts lower to near 1.3460 in European trading on Thursday. Conflicting rhetoric from US and Iranian officials about a potential deal fuels market concerns, allowing the US Dollar to attract some haven demand. Next of note for the major is the US Initial Jobless Claims report, while Mideast headlines will remain in play.

EUR/USD turns lower toward 1.1500 as USD finds demand

EUR/USD is turning south toward 1.1500 in the European session on Thursday, pressured by a modest US Dollar rebound. Markets stay wary about the prospects of a US-Iran peace deal and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, keeping the safe-haven USD underpinned. The focus is now on the US Jobless Claims data, following weak Eurozone Retail Sales report.

How Wall Street rigs the game [Video]

In this week’s Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire is joined by Peter Antico and Sean Stone to discuss the Paradigm of Money - an in-depth expose of financial market corruption, from naked shorting to the two-tier system that protects Wall Street.

Top Altcoins: Ripple, Cardano, and Solana vulnerable to deeper losses

Ripple, Cardano, and Solana are trading in the red on Thursday, facing downside pressure. The technical outlook for altcoins is bearish, as XRP risks falling below $1.00, ADA is eyeing the 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $0.1766, and SOL remains capped below a cluster of resistance levels.

AI defies the disinflationary playbook: Why lower oil prices might not be enough to cool core inflation
The global economic landscape has been fixated on the Middle East since the US-Iran war started in late February, reacting to significant changes in crude Oil prices and assessing how they could influence inflation dynamics and growth outlook.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.