Here is what you need to know on Thursday, October 10:
After having stayed relatively quiet since the beginning of the week, the US Dollar (USD) gathered bullish momentum in the American trading hours on Wednesday, with the USD Index climbing to its highest level since mid-August near 103.00. The European Central Bank (ECB) will release the Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts later in the European session. In the second half of the day, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from the US will be watched closely by market participants.
US Dollar PRICE This week
The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies this week. US Dollar was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 0.28% | 0.29% | 0.30% | 1.05% | 0.93% | 1.21% | 0.12% | |
| EUR | -0.28% | 0.07% | 0.05% | 0.79% | 0.62% | 0.92% | -0.19% | |
| GBP | -0.29% | -0.07% | -0.06% | 0.73% | 0.55% | 0.88% | -0.14% | |
| JPY | -0.30% | -0.05% | 0.06% | 0.73% | 0.61% | 0.85% | -0.14% | |
| CAD | -1.05% | -0.79% | -0.73% | -0.73% | -0.08% | 0.17% | -0.92% | |
| AUD | -0.93% | -0.62% | -0.55% | -0.61% | 0.08% | 0.34% | -0.77% | |
| NZD | -1.21% | -0.92% | -0.88% | -0.85% | -0.17% | -0.34% | -1.05% | |
| CHF | -0.12% | 0.19% | 0.14% | 0.14% | 0.92% | 0.77% | 1.05% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).
The hawkish tone in the minutes of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) September meeting boosted the USD late Wednesday. The publication showed that even though a substantial majority of Fed officials supported the 50 basis points (bps) rate cut, there was even a broader consensus that this initial step would not lock the Fed into any specific pace for future rate cuts. Additionally, some participants favored only a 25 bps reduction in the policy rate cut and a few others mentioned they could have supported that decision as well.
Annual CPI inflation in the US is forecast to soften to 2.3% in September from 2.5% in August. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 0.2% on a monthly basis. Ahead of the key CPI data, the USD Index stays in a consolidation phase, while US stock index futures trade marginally lower.
Earlier in the day, the data from Germany showed that Retail Sales rose 1.6% in August. This reading failed to trigger a noticeable reaction in EUR/USD. After losing nearly 0.4% on Wednesday, the pair trades in a tight range below 1.0950 early Thursday.
GBP/USD edged lower in the second half of the day on Wednesday and came within a touching distance of 1.3050. The pair holds its ground in the European morning on Thursday but remains below 1.3100.
Following Tuesday's indecisive action, USD/JPY gained traction and registered gains on Wednesday. The pair touched its highest level since early August above 149.50 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday before retreating toward 149.00.
Gold extended its slide and closed the sixth consecutive trading day in negative territory on Wednesday. XAU/USD struggles to gather bullish momentum but manages to hold above $2,600 in the European morning on Thursday.
Inflation FAQs
Inflation measures the rise in the price of a representative basket of goods and services. Headline inflation is usually expressed as a percentage change on a month-on-month (MoM) and year-on-year (YoY) basis. Core inflation excludes more volatile elements such as food and fuel which can fluctuate because of geopolitical and seasonal factors. Core inflation is the figure economists focus on and is the level targeted by central banks, which are mandated to keep inflation at a manageable level, usually around 2%.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in prices of a basket of goods and services over a period of time. It is usually expressed as a percentage change on a month-on-month (MoM) and year-on-year (YoY) basis. Core CPI is the figure targeted by central banks as it excludes volatile food and fuel inputs. When Core CPI rises above 2% it usually results in higher interest rates and vice versa when it falls below 2%. Since higher interest rates are positive for a currency, higher inflation usually results in a stronger currency. The opposite is true when inflation falls.
Although it may seem counter-intuitive, high inflation in a country pushes up the value of its currency and vice versa for lower inflation. This is because the central bank will normally raise interest rates to combat the higher inflation, which attract more global capital inflows from investors looking for a lucrative place to park their money.
Formerly, Gold was the asset investors turned to in times of high inflation because it preserved its value, and whilst investors will often still buy Gold for its safe-haven properties in times of extreme market turmoil, this is not the case most of the time. This is because when inflation is high, central banks will put up interest rates to combat it. Higher interest rates are negative for Gold because they increase the opportunity-cost of holding Gold vis-a-vis an interest-bearing asset or placing the money in a cash deposit account. On the flipside, lower inflation tends to be positive for Gold as it brings interest rates down, making the bright metal a more viable investment alternative.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD clings to strong gains near 1.1100 after mixed US data
EUR/USD trades at its highest level since early October near 1.1100 in the second half of the day on Thursday. The US Dollar (USD) stays under persistent selling pressure as investors react to mixed data releases, while the Trump administration's tariff announcements feed into stagflation fears.
GBP/USD consolidates gains after testing 1.3200
GBP/USD pulls away from the multi-month high it touched above 1.3200 but clings to strong daily gains near 1.3150. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to find demand following the mixed data releases and on investors' growing concerns about an economic downturn on the new trade regime.
Gold reclaims $3,100 following deep correction
Gold staged a sharp rebound after coming within a touching distance of $3,050 on Thursday, extending gains beyond $3,120. Falling US Treasury bond yields and the risk-averse market atmosphere following the "Liberation Day" tariffs seem to be helping XAU/USD find a foothold.
SOL is the winner as Solana chain turns into battleground for meme coin launchpad and DEX
Solana (SOL) gains nearly 2% in the last 24 hours and trades at 118.28 at the time of writing on Thursday. A Decentralized Exchange (DEX) and a meme coin launchpad built on the Solana blockchain have waged a war for users and compete for the trade volume on the chain.
Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs on the way
United States (US) President Donald Trump’s self-styled “Liberation Day” has finally arrived. After four straight failures to kick off Donald Trump’s “day one” tariffs that were supposed to be implemented when President Trump assumed office 72 days ago, Trump’s team is slated to finally unveil a sweeping, lopsided package of “reciprocal” tariffs.
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD
SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.