|

XRP Price Prediction: A case of sneaky divergence

  • XRP price prints a sneaky bearish divergence pattern on the daily chart.
  • Ripple price retraces the historical trend with an uptick in transactions on the Volume Profile Indicator.
  • Invalidation of the macro bearish outlook remains a breach above $0.48.

Ripple price prints a sneaky bearish divergence pattern that should not be taken lightly.

The ripple price looks dicey

Ripple price shows reasons to remain concerned. On July 26, 2022, a warning was issued as the Ripple price was rejected from a historical trend line dating back to April 2021. The classical price action signature resembles textbook catalyst makers. Based on Elliot Wave and Fibonacci projections, a $0.24 target has been forecasted. 

On July 27, the Ripple price retraced the historical barrier with an uptick in volume and a huge bullish engulfing candle. Additionally, a 3-day morning star pattern is displayed on the daily chart, which will entice traders to look for bullish targets above.

XRP price currently auctions at $0.34. The main concern surrounding the digital remittance token is where it lies in terms of a macro count. Ripple price is still in a steep downtrend since April of 2021 and has not retraced 38-50% of the decline. 

TM/XRP/7/28/22

XRP/USDT 1-Day Chart

Everyone wants to catch the bottom in hopes of maximizing profits on the ride back up. There is no doubt that Ripple’s XRP token will be a $2.00, $5.00 and even $10.00 token someday. But right now, the move is still quite dangerous and can severely damage one’s opportunity cost.

On June 26, the Relative Strength Index confounds this idea very subtly. The bearish divergence spotted between June 24, and June 27 should not be taken lightly. If the technicals are correct, a steep decline will be the only way to resolve the divergence unless the Ripple price can rally through the macro invalidation point at $0.48. This scenario may be too risky for long-term investors. Staying sidelined and missing out on the initial 30% rally towards $0.48 is justifiable.

TM/XRP/7/28/22

XRP/USDT 1-Day Chart

Subtle bearish divergences on the daily chart are usually the last chance before sharp liquidations occur. $0.24 is the first target, but the XRP price could continue in an extended decline targeting $0.17 for up to a 50% decline in price.

Bullish targets based on the morning star pattern should be considered short-term plays as the risk of a sharp decline will remain in the cards until $0.48 is breached. 

In the following video, our analysts deep dive into the price action of Ripple, analyzing key levels of interest in the market. -FXStreet Team

Author

Tony M.

Tony M.

FXStreet Contributor

Tony Montpeirous began investing in cryptocurrencies in 2017. His trading style incorporates Elliot Wave, Auction Market Theory, Fibonacci and price action as the cornerstone of his technical analysis.

More from Tony M.
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

World Liberty Financial recovers as community votes to unlock treasury funds for USD1 adoption

World Liberty Financial recovers over 3% on Friday, holding ground at a key support trendline. Community begins voting to unlock roughly 5% WLFI treasury funds to incentivize USD1 stablecoin adoption.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.