|

Polkadot price presents cautious outlook as DOT bears target $13 next

  • Polkadot price could be headed lower as the governing technical pattern presents a cause for concern.
  • DOT may be able to search for reliable support at $16.95 before dropping toward the downside trend line of the governing technical pattern.
  • If selling pressure continues to increase, Polkadot could fall toward the pessimistic target at $13.17.

Polkadot price has formed a cautious outlook as the token continued to record lower highs and lower lows. DOT has presented a bearish target at $13.17, with validation if it fails to slice above the upper boundary of the governing technical pattern at $21.77.

Polkadot price locked in downtrend

Polkadot price has formed a descending parallel channel on the daily chart, raising concern for DOT buyers. The token has projected a 30% fall toward $13.17 if the key levels of support fail to hold.

The first line of defense for Polkadot price is at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $17.91. Additional selling pressure may see DOT test the support line given by the Momentum Reversal Indicator (MRI) at $16.95, coinciding with the middle boundary of the governing technical pattern.

Polkadot price may then test the January 24 low at $15.80 next if bearish sentiment continues to increase. Falling below this level could put the pessimistic target at $13.17 on the radar, where the lower boundary of the prevailing chart pattern is located, coinciding with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level.

Investors should note that if the aforementioned pessimistic target is a level not seen since July 27.

DOT

DOT/USDT daily chart

However, if buying pressure increases, Polkadot price may aim to tag the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $19.49, intersecting with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. 

An additional spike in buy orders may push DOT price higher toward the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $21.77, coinciding with the upper boundary of the prevailing chart pattern.

If Polkadot price manages to break above the topside trend line of the governing technical pattern, the bearish outlook may be voided. 

Author

Sarah Tran

Sarah Tran

Independent Analyst

Sarah has closely followed the growth of blockchain technology and its adoption since 2016.

More from Sarah Tran
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ethereum Price Forecast: Long-term holders' capitulation drives ETH below $1,800

Ethereum has fallen below $1,800 on Wednesday, the first time since May 2025 following accelerated spot selling pressure and distributions from long-term holders.

XRP and XLM outlook: Bearish streak extends as risk-off mood erodes retail demand, ETF flows

Ripple and Stellar prices face intense selling pressure, extending losses on Thursday for the fourth consecutive day this week. Cross-border remittance tokens are losing retail sentiment, while XRP faces additional pressure from Exchange-Traded Fund outflows. 

Bitcoin drops below $65K amid reinforced bear market signals

Bitcoin dipped further below $65,000 with onchain data from Glassnode signaling a market firmly in a bear phase. The decline has pushed prices back into a key valuation range between the Realized Price and the True Market Mean.

Grayscale launches Hyperliquid staking ETF, undercutting rival fees

Grayscale announced the launch of its Hyperliquid Staking ETF (HYPG) on Wednesday, now trading on Nasdaq. The fund offers investors direct exposure to HYPE and incorporates staking rewards, which the company claims have historically ranged from 2.2% to 2.3% annually.

Billions in ETF outflows don’t bode well
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $74,000 on Friday, and is set to post its third consecutive week of losses. The institutional sell-off continues, with spot BTC Exchange-Traded funds (ETFs) recording billions in outflows. In addition, sticky inflation and macroeconomic headwinds suppress the Crypto King’s upside potential. Institutional demand continues to weaken so far this week.