- Ethereum would likely sustain trading inside key range despite recent sharp movements outside it.
- Hong Kong spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs recorded a second day of very low trading volume on Thursday.
- Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart doesn't see spot Ethereum ETFs happening until 2025.
Ethereum (ETH) is beginning to show signs of recovery on Thursday despite a second consecutive day of poor performance in Hong Kong's spot Ethereum ETFs. Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart has also shared that a spot Ethereum ETF may not happen in the US in 2024.
Read more: Ethereum attempts comeback after Fed decision not to tamper with rates
Daily digest market movers: Spot Ethereum ETFs unlikely in 2024
Ethereum ETFs are trending again following recent developments. Here are the latest market movers for the top altcoin:
- Hong Kong's spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs recorded another day of underwhelming performance, as their total trading volume was approximately $8.75 million. The three Ethereum ETFs managed a trading volume of about $600,000.
The low volume may be attributed to the recent crypto market dip, as investors are exercising caution. This aligns with the current ratio of the Ethereum Fear and Greed Index, which has declined significantly, dropping to 40 at the time of writing. While that signifies a neutral state, a further drop could quickly turn on the fear alert, signifying a potential bearish trend.
- In an interview with Altcoin Daily, Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart shared that the odds of an Ethereum ETF happening in 2024 is low, adding that an approval in 2025 looks more likely. He pointed out that a SEC approval of spot ETH ETFs in May is highly unlikely, considering there have been no positive signs.
"Our official stat is 25%. We're gonna have to lower that in the future as we are not seeing any movements," he said. The SEC must decide on Van Ecks' spot Ethereum ETF application on May 23.
Also read: Ethereum dips below key level as Hong Kong ETFs underperform
- However, he doesn't expect the SEC to deny ETH ETFs by going nuclear and calling them security, as it would invite a plethora of lawsuits. Instead, he expects the regulator to come up with a word salad—like leaning on weak correlations—as a reason for denial. Seyffart also noted that the outcome of the US presidential election may play a role in the final decision on ETH ETFs.
ETH technical analysis: Ethereum to rise within key range
After the recent downturn that saw its price reaching $2,816 on Wednesday, Ethereum is looking likely to recover earlier losses as it's currently trading close to $3,000. While many have turned bearish following recent price movements, ETH may not sustain any decline outside the $2,852 to $3,300 range for too long.
Read more: Ethereum erases weekend gains as yearlong SEC investigation comes to light
ETH/USDT 1-hour chart
We can also see this from the decline in Ethereum long liquidations, which sat around $34 million in the past 24 hours. Ethereum open interest (OI) has also risen slightly by 2% on Thursday, indicating traders are beginning to open positions again.
As a result, ETH's potential to decline further is unlikely. If ETH breaks past $3,029, it may rise further to cover the liquidity void of April 30.
This thesis would be invalidated if an upcoming macro event disrupts market dynamics.
Cryptocurrency prices FAQs
Token launches like Arbitrum’s ARB airdrop and Optimism OP influence demand and adoption among market participants. Listings on crypto exchanges deepen the liquidity for an asset and add new participants to an asset’s network. This is typically bullish for a digital asset.
A hack is an event in which an attacker captures a large volume of the asset from a DeFi bridge or hot wallet of an exchange or any other crypto platform via exploits, bugs or other methods. The exploiter then transfers these tokens out of the exchange platforms to ultimately sell or swap the assets for other cryptocurrencies or stablecoins. Such events often involve an en masse panic triggering a sell-off in the affected assets.
Macroeconomic events like the US Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates influence risk assets like Bitcoin, mainly through the direct impact they have on the US Dollar. An increase in interest rate typically negatively influences Bitcoin and altcoin prices, and vice versa. If the US Dollar index declines, risk assets and associated leverage for trading gets cheaper, in turn driving crypto prices higher.
Halvings are typically considered bullish events as they slash the block reward in half for miners, constricting the supply of the asset. At consistent demand if the supply reduces, the asset’s price climbs. This has been observed in Bitcoin and Litecoin.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
LINK price jumps 10% as Chainlink races toward tokenization of funds
Chainlink (LINK) price has remained range-bound for a while, stuck between the $16.00 roadblock to the upside and $13.08 to the downside. However, in light of recent revelations, the token, which powers the verifiable web of the decentralized computing platform, may have further upside potential.
Gaming token Notcoin down by almost 50% after airdrop launch
NOT experienced a rapid decline hours after its anticipated launch on Thursday, shedding almost 50% of its value. This continues the cycle of huge selling pressure faced by cryptocurrency airdrops after their launch, especially the launch of gaming tokens in recent times.
Ethereum drops below $3,000 again, spot ETH ETF sparks debate in crypto community
Ethereum again went below the $3,000 key level on Thursday after posting signs of a rally. The price action follows predictions from the community regarding the SEC's decision on spot ETH ETFs next week.
SUI price defends $0.8880 amid multiple Sui network integrations
Sui (SUI) price failed to heed to the broader market recovery on Wednesday, extending the fall to the $0.8880 support level. However, with multiple network integrations in the works, the altcoin has pivoted around this level and is scaling a recovery.
Bitcoin: Why BTC is close to a bottom
Bitcoin (BTC) price efforts of a recovery this week have been countered by selling pressure during the onset of the American session. However, the downside potential appears to have been capped.