|

Polkadot price is showing abnormal behaviour as volatility is at an all-time low.

  • Polkadot price action is trading in abnormally tight ranges.
  • DOT price action is long overdue a breakout as the squeezes are getting to the narrowest point ever.
  • The longer this continues, the bigger the risk of a massive imbalance followed by a sharp move lower to $1.42.

Polkadot (DOT) price action looks almost reluctant to react to any market news or events and neither bulls nor bears are willing to enter massive orders.  This stands in contrast to other cryptocurrencies that are very sensitive to the current elements moving markets, ranging from geopolitics to central banks and economic data releases. This insensitiveness could be pointing to a massive move on the horizon, however, as one side eventually gets the upper hand and drives the direction.

Is the DOT price set to implode?

Polkadot price action has been trading in a very narrow range with very limited upside and downside for over a month. This is reflected in the Historic Volatility bar below the graph, where it is visible that volatility has hit an all-time low. It almost looks like Polkadot price action is insensitive to any of the waves and shocks that have hit markets recently. This could point to a risk that buyers or sellers will soon exit their positions, creating an imbalance that will trigger a price correction.

DOT price is thus set to tank sharply or even implode should bulls decide to exit, especially given the current global economic backdrop. That would mean a massive cash departure, and the market cap for DOT price action  cut in half. On the charts, that would be translated into a nosedive move toward either $3.00, with the three-monthly supportive pivots coming in to slow down the plunging elevator – or the historical low at $1.42 as the end of the line in this decline.

 DOT/USD Daily chart

 DOT/USD Daily chart

From a bullish perspective, the biggest reference to determine whether an uptick could be the beginning of a rally comes with a break above the 55-day Simple Moving Average near $7. Seeing its importance since August, it is the best barometer on when to enter long positions. Once the rally starts, expect it to stretch as far as $9.50 with the monthly R3 resistance and the 200-day SMA coming in as caps on the topside.

Author

Filip Lagaart

Filip Lagaart is a former sales/trader with over 15 years of financial markets expertise under its belt.

More from Filip Lagaart
Share:

Editor's Picks

Arthur Hayes' “Holy Trinity” is dead: Exits Zcash after Orchard Pool exploit

Arthur Hayes has entirely dumped his “Holy Trinity” holdings by offloading his Zcash holdings on Friday. The selling reflects Hayes meticulously trimming his crypto holdings after the sale of Hyperliquid and NEAR Protocol on Thursday. 

Top 3 Price Prediction: BTC eyes $60,000, ETH risks $1,750, XRP could test $1

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices edge lower on Friday, extending a steady decline of roughly 15% so far this week. Institutional outflows weigh on Bitcoin and Ethereum while XRP largely follows the broader market trend.

DeFi hack losses drop 80% from 2022 peak as security defenses improve — Immunefi

Losses from decentralized finance exploits have fallen by 80% since reaching a record high in 2022, according to a report released by Immunefi. The report found that DeFi protocol losses declined from $2.62 billion in 2022 to $534 million in 2024.

Ethereum Price Forecast: BitMine's Strategy-inspired stock offering likely to fuel ETH purchases

Ethereum (ETH) is down more than 1.7% over the past 24 hours on Thursday, extending its weekly decline by 12% despite positive feedback following Ethereum treasury firm BitMine Immersion Technologies' (BMNR) plan to launch a Series A Perpetual Preferred Stock.

Billions in ETF outflows don’t bode well
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $74,000 on Friday, and is set to post its third consecutive week of losses. The institutional sell-off continues, with spot BTC Exchange-Traded funds (ETFs) recording billions in outflows. In addition, sticky inflation and macroeconomic headwinds suppress the Crypto King’s upside potential. Institutional demand continues to weaken so far this week.