|

Is this DeFi coin foreshadowing future performance of Ethereum price?

  • Ethereum price has been consolidating between $1,677 and $1,600 for two weeks.
  • A DeFi token showcases a similar price structure as ETH but has progressed further, hinting at an explosive move should a breakout occur.
  • Invalidation of the bullish thesis will occur on the daily candlestick close below $1,505.

Ethereum (ETH) price has shown a clear rangebound movement for the past two weeks. While it has been interesting to trade the altcoin king, it has not particularly showered traders with volatility as it moves in lockstep with Bitcoin. However, things are looking ripe for a change, which could not only induce the volatility that has been amiss but also reintroduce the bullish momentum.

Also read: Everything you need to know about Ethereum’s Shanghai hard fork and why it matters

Ethereum price structure levels that matter

Etheruem price has collected the liquidity resting above/below Monday’s highs and lows. Since the weekly objective on both sides has been accomplished, investors need to be cautious and keep a close eye on the weekly and March’s open that are present at $1,635.11 and $1,604.75, respectively.

A bounce from either of these levels could be key in breaking above the monthly resistance level at $1,677. Once this level is breached, there is buy-stop liquidity resting above swing highs formed between February 16 and 21. Beyond this level, the momentum could easily push Ethereum price to $2,021.

In total, this move would constitute a 22% gain for market participants and is likely where the upside is capped for ETH.

ETH/USDT 1-day chart

ETH/USDT 1-day chart

DeFi token Synthetix Foreshadowing Ethereum’s moves

A popular analyst with a Twitter screenname of ColdBloodedShiller posted a chart talking about the similarities between a Decentralized Finance (DeFi) token, Synthetix (SNX), and Ethereum. 

In this tweet, he showcases two important aspects of the SNX price that resembles what the Ethereum price is undergoing right now. 

A tight consolidation that developed a bearish divergence resulted in a 5% pullback over three days. This correction was soon followed by an upthrust in buying pressure that propelled the SNX price by nearly 17% in the week.

Ethereum price shows a similar pattern, but it is still in the consolidation and bearish divergence development phase. Should the pullback be cauterized by premature buying and recovery, it would increase the odds of ETH following SNX’s path.

If history were to repeat, Ethereum price could inflate by 17%, which would put ETH at roughly $1,900. 

Bear case for beloved smart contract token

While the upside outlook for Ethereum price seems logical and achievable, investors need to be cautious of a move to clear the inefficiency to the downside. The four-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), extending from $1,519 to $1,533, is key. While a move to this area could occur, market participants should note that a breakdown of the selling climax at $1,505 on a daily timeframe will invalidate the bullish thesis for ETH. A flip of this level into a resistance barrier will likely tank Ethereum price to the next inefficiency, stretching from $1,448 to $1,424.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

XRP ticks up as risk-off mood, weak ETF demand cap recovery

Ripple (XRP) rebounds above $1.23 from support at $1.20 at the time of writing on Wednesday, as the broader cryptocurrency market pares losses triggered by escalating tensions in the Middle East.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum pare losses as XRP rebounds amid escalating tensions in the Middle East

The cryptocurrency market remains largely under pressure on Wednesday amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. After plunging from its May high of $82,823, Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of stabilization, consolidating above the key $67,000 support level.

Bitcoin takes a breather above $65,000 amid swelling institutional pressure

Bitcoin hovers above $67,000 as of Wednesday, taking a breather after over 6% loss the previous day. Whales are reducing their BTC holdings, likely influenced by the 12-day streak of ETF outflows.

Ondo extends gains, defying the broader market crash

ONDO extends gains on Wednesday, after rising 9% the previous day. Early access to Ondo Perps, offering 24/7 perpetual futures on US stocks, ETFs, and commodities, fuels the recovery.

Billions in ETF outflows don’t bode well
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $74,000 on Friday, and is set to post its third consecutive week of losses. The institutional sell-off continues, with spot BTC Exchange-Traded funds (ETFs) recording billions in outflows. In addition, sticky inflation and macroeconomic headwinds suppress the Crypto King’s upside potential. Institutional demand continues to weaken so far this week.