|

Cosmos price sees bulls playing a dangerous game as failed bear trap could turn into a nasty sell-off

  • Cosmos price sees bulls abandoning control of the price action.
  • ATOM is trading further away from the important moving average on the topside.
  • Although it looks like bulls want to try and make a bear trap, the plan could blow up in their face.

Cosmos (ATOM) price is heading further away from the important 55-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), which has acted as quite a good guideline in the past few weeks and months. As that happens, price action is as well trading outside the pennant that has been going on since 2022. Although this looks like a bear trap, bulls could end up being the ones that get pushed out of their position with ATOM dropping 20%.

Cosmos price sees bulls playing with fire

Cosmos price has been stuck in a pennant formation for the most part of 2022 and 2023, and that same pennant is showing cracks. Already during these past few weeks there were brief breakouts with pullbacks back in the pennant’s barriers. This time could be different as bulls could go for a bear trap here.

ATOM though could be playing a whole other ball game this time as the 55-day SMA is starting to steepen to the downside, and the 200-day SMA is starting to show signs of a Death Cross formation. This means that price action could drop back to $10.21 and breach it this time. The end result will be a falling knife to $8.43 that brings a 20% loss with it.

ATOM/USD  weekly chart 

ATOM/USD  weekly chart    

Bulls could still be victorious and pull the price action back into the pennant however. Should they be able to break back above both the 55-day and the 200-day SMA, the road would be open to cross to the topside and head toward $14 with a nice 30% price adjustment.

Author

Filip Lagaart

Filip Lagaart is a former sales/trader with over 15 years of financial markets expertise under its belt.

More from Filip Lagaart
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.