- Cardano price rallied 16% after a swing low on June 8 to hit a local top.
- This upswing displays a decreasing bullish momentum and hints at a minor retracement to $1.50.
- A resurgence of bulls at this level could propel ADA 25% upward to $1.95.
Cardano price shows a bullish structure despite the mayhem caused in late May. ADA set up a higher low on June 8, followed by a quick upswing, a common theme across the crypto market.
Lately, this rally has slowed down, indicating the exhaustion of bullish momentum. ADA might be due for a minor retracement before the uptrend resumes.
Cardano price takes a detour
Cardano price rode the bull wave, rising 16% to $1.638 after a swing low on June 8. As investors begin to book profits, the rally seems to be coming undone. So far, ADA price has dropped roughly 3% from the previous swing high and might continue until it encounters the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $1.50.
A swift return of the bulls at this point seems likely. That said, the outlook for Cardano price will stay bullish up to the 70.5% Fibonacci retracement level at $1.316. Therefore, a dip into the support levels ranging from $1.50 to $1.316 will likely trigger massive buying pressure, pushing ADA to critical levels at $1.638, $1.741 and $1.848.
In a highly bullish case, Cardano price might tag the range high at $1.949 or the lower limit of the supply zone extending from $1.977 to $2.084.
ADA/USDT 4-hour chart
While the technicals hint at a drop, the on-chain metrics solidify it. IntoTheBlock’s Global In/Out of the Money (GIOM) model reveals a massive cluster of underwater investors present ahead.
Roughly 162,000 addresses purchased nearly 2.23 billion ADA at an average price of $2.01. These “Out of the Money” investors might slow down the upswing or halt it if they decide to break even and sell their holdings.
ADA GIOM chart
Further supporting the retracement is the lack of users interacting with the Cardano blockchain. The number of new addresses joining the network has reduced from 63,660 to 38,070 over the past month.
This 40% decline suggests that market participants are reallocating their funds or booking profits. Both of which paint a short-term bearish picture, adding credence to the pullback thesis.
ADA new addresses chart
If Cardano price dips below the 79% Fibonacci retracement level at $1.24, it would invalidate the bullish thesis and open the possibility of a further downswing. A potential spike in selling pressure could push ADA down by 15% to the range low at $1.051.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.