|

Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC locks in on $40,000

  • Bitcoin price rallied nearly 7% after forming a bottom on July 1.
  • Although a pullback seems likely, the uptrend will continue without it if BTC climbs past the mid-point of the range at $35,618.
  • A breakdown of the $30,000 support level will invalidate the upswing.

Bitcoin price has been trading in a tight range since May 19. Although the range lows have been shifting lower, the range high seems to be untouched for more than a month. Therefore, the current impulsive move could end up setting up a new high since May 19.

Bitcoin price prepares for lift-off

Bitcoin price consolidation has been ongoing since May 20. A new range low at $28,850 was set up on June 22, and BTC has rallied 20% so far to where it currently trades $34,700. 

While a decisive close above 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $35,618 will confirm the start of an upswing, a failure to do so will result in a pullback.

The retracement could extend up to the demand zone, ranging from $30,573 to $31,979. Such a down move will not invalidate the bullish thesis but enforce it.

Despite multiple attempts, the range highs have not been tested in a while. Therefore, this time around, investors can expect the BTC price to retest $42,451 after slicing through the intermediate resistance levels at $36,600, $39,146, and $40,516.

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart

On the other hand, a breakdown of the demand zone extending from $30,573 to $31,979 will indicate that the sellers are in control. However, a decisive 4-hour candlestick close below $30,000 will invalidate the bullish thesis and trigger a sell-off to the range low at $28,785.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

World Liberty Financial recovers as community votes to unlock treasury funds for USD1 adoption

World Liberty Financial recovers over 3% on Friday, holding ground at a key support trendline. Community begins voting to unlock roughly 5% WLFI treasury funds to incentivize USD1 stablecoin adoption.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.