|

Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC locks in on $40,000

  • Bitcoin price rallied nearly 7% after forming a bottom on July 1.
  • Although a pullback seems likely, the uptrend will continue without it if BTC climbs past the mid-point of the range at $35,618.
  • A breakdown of the $30,000 support level will invalidate the upswing.

Bitcoin price has been trading in a tight range since May 19. Although the range lows have been shifting lower, the range high seems to be untouched for more than a month. Therefore, the current impulsive move could end up setting up a new high since May 19.

Bitcoin price prepares for lift-off

Bitcoin price consolidation has been ongoing since May 20. A new range low at $28,850 was set up on June 22, and BTC has rallied 20% so far to where it currently trades $34,700. 

While a decisive close above 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $35,618 will confirm the start of an upswing, a failure to do so will result in a pullback.

The retracement could extend up to the demand zone, ranging from $30,573 to $31,979. Such a down move will not invalidate the bullish thesis but enforce it.

Despite multiple attempts, the range highs have not been tested in a while. Therefore, this time around, investors can expect the BTC price to retest $42,451 after slicing through the intermediate resistance levels at $36,600, $39,146, and $40,516.

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart

On the other hand, a breakdown of the demand zone extending from $30,573 to $31,979 will indicate that the sellers are in control. However, a decisive 4-hour candlestick close below $30,000 will invalidate the bullish thesis and trigger a sell-off to the range low at $28,785.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Binance security breach and hawkish Fed push BTC lower
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to weaken this week, down more than 3% and heading for its fourth straight weekly loss. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is facing a bearish outlook, fueled by a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) outlook at the October meeting and a reported $6.3 billion hack at Binance, which is driving risk aversion and triggering heavy liquidations.
Ripple Price Forecast: XRP bulls defend $1.20 as sell-side pressure triggers liquidations
Ripple (XRP) trades around $1.25 on Friday, rising from a short-term support level established at $1.20. This minor upward correction follows a sharp sell-off, triggered amid reports of a hack attack on the Binance exchange that impacted approximately $6.3 billion. The attack drove the broader crypto market on edge, as Binance suspended both deposits and withdrawals to contain the situation.
Bitcoin, Ether and XRP selloff wipes out $1.5 billion in leveraged crypto bets
Crypto traders betting on higher prices had about $1.29 billion in positions forcibly closed over the past 24 hours, as the selloff following Binance’s security breach pushed bitcoin, ether and smaller tokens lower. Total liquidations reached $1.53 billion by Friday morning in Asia, according to CoinGlass. Long positions, bets that prices would rise, accounted for 83.8% of the total.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP sell-off cools after Binance security breach
Cryptocurrency prices are on edge on Friday, with Bitcoin (BTC) delicately holding onto a short-term $78,000 support, Ethereum (ETH) edging lower near $2,200 and Ripple (XRP) attempting a recovery above support established at $1.20. The cooldown follows Binance, the largest crypto exchange, after it reported a hack that impacted about $6.3 billion.
Bitcoin: Binance security breach and hawkish Fed push BTC lower
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to weaken this week, down more than 3% and heading for its fourth straight weekly loss. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is facing a bearish outlook, fueled by a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) outlook at the October meeting and a reported $6.3 billion hack at Binance, which is driving risk aversion and triggering heavy liquidations.