|

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Three bearish factors that limit BTC/USD recovery in the short run

  • BTC/USD locked in a tight range amid market indecision.
  • A strong move above $6,300 is needed for the recovery to gain traction.

Bitcoin (BTC) has spend the recent 24 hours oscillating in a tight range. At the time of writing, BTC/USD is changing hands at $6,220, mostly unchanged both on a day-to-day basis and since the beginning of Sunday. The short-term trend remains bullish amid low volatility.

BTC/USD: Technical picture 

BTC/USD has been locked in a tight range since  the sell-off on Saturday morning. The first digital coin recovered from the recent low close to critical $6,000, but the upside momentum failed to gain traction. While the longer-term picture is still bullish, there are several factors that prevent Bitcoin from developing a sustainable recovery.

First, a way to the North is blocked by a strong resistance at $6,300. This area slowed down the recovery after the collapse to $3,386 in the middle of March and stopped the bulls on Saturday. Notably, according to the data, provided by Intotheblock, there are over 700,000 Bitcoin addresses that have their break-even point in the area from $6,170 to $6,350. This factor adds strengths to this resistance.

Second, the intraday RSI points downwards, which means that bearish sentiments are still predominant in the short-run. 

Finally, a flattened out volatility slows down the market and indicates that traders need some time to decide on the next move. A tight consolidation during the weekend may also mean that we may witness sharp moves on Monday morning, on the opening of the traditional markets in Asia.

BTC/USD 30-min chart

Author

Tanya Abrosimova

Tanya Abrosimova

Independent Analyst

 

More from Tanya Abrosimova
Share:

Editor's Picks

Cardano Price Forecast: Weak momentum puts ADA recovery at risk

Cardano is trading below $0.222 on Thursday after failing to sustain gains above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average near $0.228 the previous day. Weakening derivatives metrics and fading bullish momentum continue to weigh on sentiment, while a break below the 100-day EMA could push ADA lower. Derivatives data shows a cautious outlook for Cardano.

Ripple and Stellar outlook: XRP and XLM recovery stalls below EMAs

Ripple and Stellar remain under pressure on Thursday as both struggle to sustain their recent recovery attempts. XRP trades below $1.36, while XLM slips beneath $0.183, as mixed derivatives metrics, weakening momentum indicators and heating market conditions suggest cautious market sentiment. Derivatives data shows weakening conditions for Ripple and Stellar.

Zcash Price Forecast: ZEC reclaims $1,300 as ETF inflow hits 30-day high

Zcash price hovers above $1,300 on Thursday, sustaining its 15% gains so far this week with three straight days of recovery. Institutional and retail appeal is returning, with over $15 million in inflows recorded on Wednesday and ZEC futures Open Interest rising to a 30-day high of $2.89 billion. The technical outlook for ZEC indicates an upside bias as recovery gains traction.

Bitcoin derivatives improve, but $87,000 sell wall looms
Bitcoin (BTC) showed signs of recovery on Wednesday as derivatives positioning improved, but sell risk grew between $86,500 and $87,500, where sell orders and leveraged liquidation clusters could limit further gains.
Bitcoin: Macroeconomic headwinds, cooling demand cap BTC gains
Bitcoin (BTC) extends losses this week, trading below $82,500 as of Friday as selling pressure continues. Weakening institutional demand supports this pullback as BTC spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) are on track to record a two-week withdrawal streak, reaching $146.19 million in net outflows through Thursday.