|

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC/USD tumbles days to halving, is a reversal to $10,000 in the picture?

  • Bitcoin price plummets to $8,105 just two days before the 2020 halving.
  • Speculation regarding Bitcoin halving undeterred by the slum from $10,000.
  • Bitcoin recovery to levels above $9,000 will help confirm the reversal trend to highs above $10,000.

Bitcoin price has pulled a shocking and devastating move against bullish investors following a dire free-fall from highs around $9,800 on Saturday to lows at $8,105 on Sunday. The largest cryptocurrency broke out past $10,100 earlier this week, confirming to investors that a halving-triggered rally is in the offing.

At the time of writing, BTC/USD is trading 9.42% lower on the day and valued at $8,641. It appears that the surge to levels above $10,000 was a perfect ingredient for a squeeze as the volume remained technically unsupported.

Bitcoin 2020 halving around the corner

The most-anticipated halving event takes place in two days. The impressive rally to high above $10,100 mid this week revealed the increased speculation in regard to the event. Predictions surrounding the impact of the halving process go to highs of $1 million in three to five years. PlanB, a crypto analyst, using the Stock-to-Flow model predicts Bitcoin rally above $80,000 by the end of 2021. Former hedge fund manager Mike Novogratz said this week that Bitcoin rally has just started and it has not even recorded yearly highs.

Bitcoin price technical analysis

The volatility in the cryptocurrency market is extremely high at the moment. However, from a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s downside is supported by the confluence formed by the 61.8% Fibonacci level and the 200-day SMA.

Buying interest managed to send Bitcoin above $8,600 following the drop. In other words, investors could be willing to buy low as they speculate more gains post-halving. Also, reclaiming the position above $9,000 will serve as confirmation for gains above $10,000. Apart from the support mentioned, other levels that are of interest to Bitcoin include $8,000, the 50-day SMA ($7,468), the 38.2% Fibo ($6,417) as well as $6,000.

BTC/USD price daily chart

BTC/USD price chart

Author

John Isige

John Isige

FXStreet

John Isige is a seasoned cryptocurrency journalist and markets analyst committed to delivering high-quality, actionable insights tailored to traders, investors, and crypto enthusiasts. He enjoys deep dives into emerging Web3 tren

More from John Isige
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.