|

Bitcoin on-chain metrics show compelling signs of accumulation and continuation of BTC price rally

  • Bitcoin price sustained above the $23,000 level despite macroeconomic headwinds and profit-taking by traders. 
  • BTC price held steady above the $23,000 level by breaking above the cost basis of its three key holder cohorts. 
  • From the on-chain perspective, Bitcoin's capitulation has unfolded, and bulls helped the asset hold above the key psychological level, fueling a bullish narrative.

Bitcoin price recovered after the announcement of US Nonfarm Payrolls data. The asset sustained above the key psychological level of $23,000. On-chain metrics point to a continuation of the Bitcoin price rally in the long term. 

Also read: Alt season to propel Shiba Inu price next, here's what SHIB holders can expect

Bitcoin price sustains above $23,000 despite macroeconomic headwinds 

Bitcoin price crumbled under pressure following the announcement of US Nonfarm Payrolls. The number of jobs added by the world’s largest economy came in 2.5 times higher than expectations, making traders wary of the US Central Bank’s next rate hike to curb inflation. 

Bitcoin price wiped out gains from the beginning of February after hitting $24,000 briefly. While Bitcoin struggles to return to $24,000, bulls have defended the $23,000 level. 

Bitcoin on-chain metrics support the bullish narrative

Bitcoin’s realized price, Short-term holder realized price, and Long-term holder realized price are the on-chain metrics that give a clear understanding of whether various cohorts of the market are profitable or underwater. 

Experts at Bitcoin Pro consider it key since when Bitcoin breaks above the cost basis of all three cohorts, it has a collective psychological effect when most market participants are no longer underwater.

Bitcoin: Long/Short-term on-chain cost basis

Bitcoin: Long/Short-term on-chain cost basis 

With BTC above $23,000, market participants in all three segments are no longer underwater. This highlights the importance of this level for market participants. 

Bitcoin Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) is an on-chain indicator that can determine when the price is above or below "fair value" and assess market profitability. Currently, MVRV Ratio is 1.18, reasonably close to 1. 

When MVRV Ratio is below 1, it historically signals bear market bottoms and smart money accumulation. Since MVRV is at 1.18, it fuels the narrative of accumulation by market participants. 

Bitcoin MVRV ratio

Bitcoin MVRV ratio

From an on-chain perspective, capitulation, a mass sell-off of BTC, has unfolded. Bitcoin holders defended the $23,000 level, and there are signs of a sustained uptrend in BTC, despite macro headwinds. 

Author

Ekta Mourya

Ekta Mourya

FXStreet

Ekta Mourya has extensive experience in fundamental and on-chain analysis, particularly focused on impact of macroeconomics and central bank policies on cryptocurrencies.

More from Ekta Mourya
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Ethereum Price Forecast: EF outlines ways to solve growing state issues

Ethereum price today: $2,920. The EF noted that Ethereum's growing state could lead to centralization and weaken censorship resistance. The Stateless Consensus team outlined state expiry, state archive and partial statelessness as potential solutions to the growing state load.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple – BTC, ETH and XRP correction slide as BoJ rate decision weighs on sentiment

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are extending their correction phases after losing nearly 3%, 8%, and 10%, respectively, through Friday.

Top Crypto Losers: Pump.fun, Pudgy Penguins, and Hyperliquid extend bearish streak

Pump.fun, Pudgy Penguins, and Hyperliquid lose ground in an extended bearish streak, recording double-digit losses this week. The surprise drop in the November US CPI to 2.7%, beating expectations of 3.1%, fueled a rally in the stock market.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP face sharp volatility as US posts lowest inflation rate in years

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP saw increased volatility following the US CPI report for November. The US headline inflation dropped to 2.7% while core CPI fell to 2.6%, its lowest level since March 2021.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.