|

AVAX price exhaustion could lead to sizeable retracement, but for the better

  • AVAX price seems to be having trouble overcoming the $30.20 hurdle after multiple attempts.
  • A rejection here could likely lead to an 8% to 14% retracement in the near future. 
  • A daily candlestick close below $26.34 without a quick recovery will trigger a bearish scenario for Avalanche.

AVAX price is in a no man’s land and depending on how the altcoin reacts to a few barriers, investors can bet on its direction. But a minor retracement in the short-term seems likely given the current market conditions. 

AVAX price needs to find stable support levels

AVAX price has rallied 126% since June 19 and 39% since August 3. This impressive rally comes after the altcoin managed to get back into the $22.43 to $37.97 range that was created in May 2022.

However, the upswing has been facing issues overcoming the midpoint of this range at $30.20  since August 8. Due to the expansive move that AVAX price has undergone, a minor retracement seems likely.

Investors can expect AVAX price to retrace to the immediate support level at $26.34 or dig a little deeper and retest the $24.71 barrier. While the overall consensus on altcoins is bullish, investors can expect another attempt at overcoming the $30.20 hurdle if the bulls allow a quick recovery above $26.34.

Failing to do so will indicate that the profit-taking or the selling pressure is taking over.

AVAX/USDT 1-day chart

AVAX/USDT 1-day chart

If the $26.34 support level flips into a resistance barrier, investors can expect AVAX price to slide to the range low at $22.43, which is likely to provide a decent amount of support. However, bears might knock the altcoin lower to fill the fair value gap or the price inefficiency present at $21.29. 

Hence, a failure to recover above $26.34 could result in a 19% downswing for AVAX price. 

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP decline as risk-off sentiment escalates

Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading above the $87,000 support at the time of writing on Tuesday. Selling pressure has continued to weigh on the broader cryptocurrency market since Monday, triggering declines across altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple.

Chainlink risks further losses in early 2026 despite the ecosystem growth

Chainlink (LINK) is down 2% at press time on Tuesday, adding to a nearly 5% decline in December so far. The oracle token risks a negative close for the fourth straight month, potentially signaling a bearish start to 2026. 

Bitcoin retreats as $90,000 rejection, ETF outflows weigh on sentiment

Bitcoin continues to trade lower on Tuesday after failing to break the key $90,000 resistance level the previous day. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $142.90 on Monday, while Strategy Inc. boosts its cash reserves to $2.19 billion.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.