|

AVAX price exhaustion could lead to sizeable retracement, but for the better

  • AVAX price seems to be having trouble overcoming the $30.20 hurdle after multiple attempts.
  • A rejection here could likely lead to an 8% to 14% retracement in the near future. 
  • A daily candlestick close below $26.34 without a quick recovery will trigger a bearish scenario for Avalanche.

AVAX price is in a no man’s land and depending on how the altcoin reacts to a few barriers, investors can bet on its direction. But a minor retracement in the short-term seems likely given the current market conditions. 

AVAX price needs to find stable support levels

AVAX price has rallied 126% since June 19 and 39% since August 3. This impressive rally comes after the altcoin managed to get back into the $22.43 to $37.97 range that was created in May 2022.

However, the upswing has been facing issues overcoming the midpoint of this range at $30.20  since August 8. Due to the expansive move that AVAX price has undergone, a minor retracement seems likely.

Investors can expect AVAX price to retrace to the immediate support level at $26.34 or dig a little deeper and retest the $24.71 barrier. While the overall consensus on altcoins is bullish, investors can expect another attempt at overcoming the $30.20 hurdle if the bulls allow a quick recovery above $26.34.

Failing to do so will indicate that the profit-taking or the selling pressure is taking over.

AVAX/USDT 1-day chart

AVAX/USDT 1-day chart

If the $26.34 support level flips into a resistance barrier, investors can expect AVAX price to slide to the range low at $22.43, which is likely to provide a decent amount of support. However, bears might knock the altcoin lower to fill the fair value gap or the price inefficiency present at $21.29. 

Hence, a failure to recover above $26.34 could result in a 19% downswing for AVAX price. 

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

World Liberty Financial recovers as community votes to unlock treasury funds for USD1 adoption

World Liberty Financial recovers over 3% on Friday, holding ground at a key support trendline. Community begins voting to unlock roughly 5% WLFI treasury funds to incentivize USD1 stablecoin adoption.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.