Dukascopy Bank Team
Dukascopy Bank SA
EUR/USD 4H Chart: Channel Down
Comment: The pattern that is currently emerging in the four-hour chart of EUR/USD might be of low quality on the whole, but we are more interested in its upper trend-line, and it implies a strong sell-off next week. Resistance at 1.0950 is reinforced by the weekly R1 and January 4 high, making it a highly unlikely victim of today’s potential rally, which is suggested by the four-hour technical indicators. However, at the same time we should note that there is a strong support area between 1.0840 and 1.0810, created by the monthly pivot point and the 200-period SMA. Once the pair is below this zone, the new target will be the lower boundary of the channel at 1.07.
USD/CAD 1H Chart: Channel Up
Comment: USD/CAD is in a good position to rally from the current levels. The currency pair has just confirmed the lower trend-line that is forming the ascending channel, meaning we are likely to see a new bullish wave within the pattern. Additional arguments in favour of the Greenback’s recovery are the four-hour indicators and the fact that the US Dollar is presently oversold (67% of positions are short), despite the currency’s rally from 1.3810 this week. The rebound will probably extend up to 1.4230 before there is a significant downward correction. Meanwhile, if the price dives under 1.4050/40, the focus should shift to 1.3940, the current location of the 200-hour SMA.
This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.
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