An interesting technical set-up could be developing in NYMEX Crude Oil (below), which shows a potential near-term double bottom at $90.63/43.
This far, however, all we really see is a double low.
To confirm that a near-term double bottom is in place, crude must climb and sustain above $94.00/25.
Should such a scenario unfold, then a climb above $96.00 will trigger intermediate-term buy signals as well, which will argue strongly that the entire bear phase from the June 20 high at $107.73 to the Sept 11 low at $90.43 (-16%) is complete.
That said, the pattern carved out by the Dollar Index (DXY) does not yet look complete to the upside.
The behavior of Crude Oil might be "warning us" that DXY is very near to a significant high and subsequent downside reversal.
All eyes on the $94.00/25 area in Crude Oil for additional clues.
In using any portion of MPTrader, you agree to the Terms and Conditions governing the use of the service as described in this disclaimer. Our disclaimers, policies and terms are subject to change without notice. MPTrader (www.mptrader.com) is published by AdviceTrade, Inc. and MJP Market Strategies, Inc., both of whom are publishers. The Web site is maintained by Codexia, LLC and has a marketing affiliation with The Technical Trader. None of these firms or individuals is registered as a broker-dealer or investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or with any state securities authority. Mr. Paulenoff's commentaries and index analysis represent his own opinions and should not be relied upon for purposes of effecting securities transactions or other investing strategies, nor should they be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy any security. You should not interpret Mr. Paulenoff's opinions as constituting investment advice. Trades mentioned on the site are hypothetical, not actual, positions and Mr. Paulenoff and employees of AdviceTrade do not have personal positions in instruments mentioned on the site. Hypothetical performance results do not include trading commissions and other execution costs that would be incurred if the trades referenced in the diary or elsewhere on the site were actual trades. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. MJP Market Strategies, AdviceTrade, and Codexia cannot and do not assess, verify or guarantee the suitability or profitability of any particular investment. The risk of loss in trading index futures can be substantial. You should therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitablef or you in light of your financial condition. You bear responsibility for your own investment research and decisions and should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment. As an express condition of using this service and anytime after ending the service, you agree not to hold any employees of MJP Market Strategies, AdviceTrade, or Codexia or the companies themselves liable for trading losses, lost profits or other damages resulting from your use of information in MPTrader in any form (Web-based, email-based, or downloadable software), and you agree to indemnify and hold MJP Market Strategies, AdviceTrade, and Codexia and their employees harmless from and against any and all claims, losses, liabilities, costs, and expenses (including but not limited to attorneys' fees) arising from your violation of this agreement. This paragraph is not intended to limit rights available to you or to us that may be available under the federal securities laws.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays below 1.0700 as focus shifts to Fed policy decisions
EUR/USD stays in its daily range below 1.0700 following the mixed macroeconomic data releases from the US. Private sector rose more than expected in April, while the ISM Manufacturing PMI fell below 50. Fed will announce monetary policy decisions next.
GBP/USD holds steady below 1.2500 ahead of Fed
GBP/USD is off the lows but stays flatlined below 1.2500 on Wednesday. The US Dollar stays resilient against its rivals despite mixed data releases and doesn't allow the pair to stage a rebound ahead of the Fed's policy decisions.
Gold rebounds above $2,300 after US data, eyes on Fed policy decision
Gold gained traction and recovered above $2,300 in the American session on Wednesday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield turned negative on the day after US data, helping XAU/USD push higher ahead of Fed policy announcements.
A new stage of Bitcoin's decline
Bitcoin's closing price on Tuesday became the lowest since late February, confirming the downward trend and falling under March and April support and the psychologically important round level.
US Federal Reserve Decision Preview: Markets look for clues about interest rate cut timing
The Federal Reserve is widely anticipated to keep interest rates unchanged. Fed Chairman Powell’s remarks could provide important clues about the timing of the policy pivot.