|

Technical analysis: WTI futures struggle around 73 mark, latest ascent at risk

WTI oil futures’ upward thrust from the 14-week low of 62.42 is looking vulnerable as it confronts a critical resistance border formed between the 73.00 and 75.00 handles. That said, the most recent push higher in the price of the commodity seems to have neutralized the growing threat of a negative trend, something also being reflected in the steadier 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs).

The short-term oscillators are indicating that current bullish forces may not be sufficient to boost upside momentum further. The MACD, in the negative region, has climbed above its red trigger line but remains far below the zero level. The RSI is starting to roll over ahead of its 50 level, showing that negative pressures have yet to fully subside. Moreover, in the overbought zone, the stochastic %K line is hinting that the upward drive may be weakening.

In the positive scenario, an immediate tough section established between the 73.00 and 75.00 handles could curb gains in the commodity. That said, if the price surpasses this important border, reinforced by the mid-Bollinger band and the 100-day SMA, buyers could propel higher for another limiting zone marked by the 50-day SMA at 78.00 and the 79.31 barrier. Conquering these and the adjacent 80.66 high, the bulls may then seek out the upper Bollinger band around 83.28 before targeting the seven-year high of 85.39.

If advances remain capped, preliminary support could arise around the 200-day SMA at 70.12 and the nearby 69.18 obstacle. If bearish powers intensify, the price may dive for the 65.59 and 64.42 neighbouring barriers prior to meeting the lower Bollinger band at 63.80. Should sellers remain in charge, they could then test the 14-week trough of 62.42 before challenging the 60.61-61.77 support base.

Summarizing, WTI futures short-term neutral-to-bullish tone is showing weakness at the 73.00-75.00 key resistance. A break above this could feed optimism in the commodity, while a break below the key 60.61-61.77 foundation may spark worries about the broader uptrend.

Chart

Author

Anthony Charalambous, CFTe

Anthony Charalambous joined XM in 2019 and specializes in preparing daily technical analysis, using his years of trading experience to provide detailed forecasting for all major asset classes such as forex, indices, commodities and equities.

More from Anthony Charalambous, CFTe
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD faces next resistance near 1.1930

EUR/USD has surrendered its earlier intraday advance on Thursday and is now hovering uncomfortably around the 1.1860 region amid modest gains in the US Dolla. Moving forward, markets are exoected to closely follow Friday’s release of US CPI data.
 

GBP/USD inching closer to 1.36

The Pound Sterling edged higher to 1.3640 on Thursday, recovering from an earlier pullback after stronger-than-expected US jobs data initially weighed on the pair. The Bank of England held rates at 3.75% at its February 4 meeting in a narrow 5-4 vote split, with four members preferring a 25 basis point cut to 3.50%. 

Gold falls to near $4,900 as selling pressure intensifies

Gold price faces some selling pressure around $4,910 during the early Asian session on Friday. The yellow metal tumbles over 3.50% on the day, with algorithmic traders appearing to amplify the precious metal’s sudden drop. Traders will closely monitor the release of the US Consumer Price Index inflation report for January, which will be released later on Friday. 

Ethereum investors face huge unrealized losses following price slump

US spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds flipped negative again on Wednesday after recording net outflows of $129.1 million, reversing mild inflows seen at the beginning of the week, per SoSoValue data. Fidelity's FETH was responsible for more than half of withdrawals, posting outflows of $67 million.

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Aster Price Forecast: Demand sparks on Binance Wallet partnership for on-chain perpetuals

Aster is up roughly 9% so far on Thursday, hinting at the breakout of a crucial resistance level. Aster partners up with Binance wallet for the second season of the on-chain perpetuals challenge.