|

Gold to Silver ratio has resumed lower

Gold-to-Silver ratio had an overshoot to the upside during the Covid-19. It ended the all-time high on March 2020 at 126.4. The peak time is similar to the major low in World Indices. The ratio then quickly corrected lower in just 1 year to 62.51 and bottomed on February 2021. It has since traded in sideways for the last 3 years. However, the ratio has now started to turn lower and resumed the downside. Let’s see the latest daily outlook of AUG below.

Gold to Silver ratio daily chart

Gold-to-Silver ratio (AUG) daily chart above shows the selloff from March 2020 peak unfolded in 5 waves impulse. It ended in wave a at 62.51. The ratio then corrected in 3 waves as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave a, wave ((A)) ended at 82.13. Wave ((B)) dips ended at 74.65. The Last leg wave ((C)) ended at 96.49 which completed wave b. Note that the rally finished at the 100% – 161.8% fibonacci extension of wave ((A)). This supports the idea that the right side is bearish.

The ratio has turned lower in wave c. Down from wave b, wave ((1)) ended at 74.63. Wave ((2)) rally ended at 92.1 as a zigzag. The ratio has now turned lower in wave ((3)). Down from wave ((2)), wave 1 ended at 85.06 and rally in wave 2 rally ended at 90.13. It has then resumed lower again. Expect the ratio to extend lower in months to come, supporting both Gold and Silver. It also suggests Silver will from now on outperform Gold

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

More from Elliott Wave Forecast Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD retreats from weekly high vs firmer USD as focus shifts to BoE, US data

The GBP/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's strong move up to the weekly high and drifts lower during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around mid-1.3300s, down over 0.10% for the day, and, for now, seem to have stalled the recovery move from a nearly four-week low, touched on Tuesday.

EUR/USD edges lower to near 1.1450 as Fed holds rates steady, traders await Eurozone and German GDP

The EUR/USD pair trades with mild losses around 1.1465 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar edges higher against the Euro on a hawkish Federal Reserve rate hold. Traders brace for the preliminary readings of the Gross Domestic Product for the second quarter from Germany and the Eurozone. 


Gold eyes $4,000 and US GDP amid fresh US-Iran tensions

Gold faces rejection once again above $4,100 in the aftermath of the Fed verdict-led volatility. The US Dollar pauses post-FOMC sell-off as the US launches fresh strikes on Iran. A daily closing above $4,100 and the RSI above 50 are needed to negate Gold’s bearish outlook.

WTI falls below $83.00 despite hostilities in the Middle East

West Texas Intermediate, the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $82.80 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. WTI falls amid some profit-taking despite escalating conflicts in the Middle East. Traders book some profits following the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision.

Fed review: Reversing course (?)
At face value, the FOMC's 9-3 split decision hold was exactly in line with the expectations we laid out in our Fed preview - a divided hold, 22 July. We also named the three dissenters - Hammack, Logan and Kashkari - as the most likely hawks to support rapid tightening.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.