|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD under pressure around $2,325.00

XAU/USD Current price: $2,325.17

  • United States job openings contracted by more than anticipated in April.
  • Treasury yields edged further lower while US indexes also shed ground.
  • XAU/USD could accelerate its slide once below $2,314.63, the weekly low.

Demand for the US Dollar returned on Tuesday, with risk-off flows moving away from Gold. XAU/USD trades around $2,325, down for the day. Tepid United States (US) growth-related data undermined demand for the American currency on Monday, pushing the pair towards a weekly high of $2.354.60, but speculative interest gave up as the mood deteriorated further early in Asia, extending after Wall Street’s opening.

The US published the first of several employment figures ahead of the monthly Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report scheduled for Friday. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) showed the number of job openings on the last business day of April stood at 8.059 million, easing from a previously revised 8.35 million and missing expectations of 8.34 million. The Greenback initially fell with the news but quickly changed course as the US also published an upbeat Factory Orders figure, up 0.7% in April vs the 0.6% anticipated by market participants.

Government bonds surged, sending yields even lower from their recent peaks, although stock markets are unable to lift their heads. The three major US indexes trade in the red, albeit losses are modest.

XAU/USD short-term technical outlook

From a technical point of view, XAU/USD is poised to extend its slide. The daily chart shows it retreated from near a mildly bullish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) for the fourth consecutive day. Furthermore, technical indicators extended their slides within negative territory, maintaining their firmly downward slopes. Finally, it is worth mentioning that the 100 and 200 SMA retain their bullish slopes far below the current level, limiting the bearish potential in the long term.

In the near term, and according to the 4-hour chart, the bearish case is even clearer. XAU/USD has fallen below all its moving averages, which anyway remain directionless. Furthermore, a pullback was contained by the 20 SMA, currently at around 2,339.10. At the same time, technical indicators head firmly lower well below their midlines, in line with another leg south should the pair break below the weekly low at 2,314.63

Support levels: 2,314.60 2,305.30 2,289.70

Resistance levels: 2,339.10 2,355.50 2,364.00

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD deflates to fresh lows, targets 1.1600

The selling pressure on EUR/USD now gathers extra pace, prompting the pair to hit fresh multi-week lows in the 1.1625-1.1620 band on Friday. The continuation of the downward bias comes in response to further gains in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess the mixed release of US Nonfarm Payrolls in December.

GBP/USD breaks below 1.3400, challenges the 200-day SMA

GBP/USD remains under heavy fire and retreats for the fourth consecutive day on Friday. Indeed, Cable suffers the strong performance of the Greenback, intensified post-mixed NFP, and trades at shouting distance from its critical 200-day SMA near 1.3380.

Gold flirts with yearly tops around $4,500

Gold keeps its positive bias on Friday, adding to Thursday’s advance and challenging yearly highs in the $4,500 region per troy ounce. The risk-off sentiment favours the yellow metal despite the firmer tone in the Greenback and rising US Treasury yields.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP risk further decline as market fear persists amid slowing demand

Bitcoin holds $90,000 but stays below the 50-day EMA as institutional demand wanes. Ethereum steadies above $3,000 but remains structurally weak due to ETF outflows. XRP ETFs resume inflows, but the price struggles to gain ground above key support.

Week ahead – US CPI might challenge the geopolitics-boosted Dollar

Geopolitics may try to steal the limelight from US data. A possible US Supreme Court ruling on tariffs could dictate market movements. A crammed data calendar next week, US CPI comes on Tuesday; Fedspeak to intensify.

XRP trades under pressure amid weak retail demand

XRP presses down on the 50-day EMA support as risk-averse sentiment spreads despite a positive start to 2026. XRP faces declining retail demand, as reflected in futures Open Interest, which has fallen to $4.15 billion.