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Gold: Bulls need a break above 1991 for a buy signal

Gold

Gold Spot initially topped exactly at the selling opportunity at 1970/75 for the 3rd or 4th time. This levels has offered great profits over the past week. However I did warn that this was more likely to break vent yesterday...and exactly as predicted we broke higher through 1980 for a clear buy signal.

However gains could not be sustained & we now appear to be forming a triangle consolidation pattern.

Silver Spot also moving higher of course beating last week's high at 2785/90 & 2 week highs at 2840/44 but has collapsed from 2888 leaving a short term bull trap. This also signals further sideways trading.

It is too risky at this stage to run longer term bull positions until we get a clear buy signal.

Daily Analysis

Gold likely to continue to trade sideways in the days ahead. The best support for today is at 1951/1947. Try longs with stops below 1942. A break lower is a short term sell signal targeting 1937, 1931, perhaps as far as 1 month trend line support at 1924/22. Try longs with stops below 1918.

There's very minor support at 1960 & if we bounce from here this morning we meet strong resistance at 1970/75. Shorts need stops above 1980. A break higher tests 2 week trend line resistance at 1989/91. (This is the upper trend line of the triangle). Bulls need a break above here for a buy signal targeting 1999/2001, perhaps as far as 2 week highs at 2012/14.

Silver meets minor support at 2780/75 but below here meets the best buying opportunity for today at 2725/15. Try longs with stops below 2705.

Holding minor support at 2780/75 targets 2810, perhaps as far as 2830. If we continue higher look for 2845/50, before resistance at yesterday's high of 2883/88.

fxsoriginal

Chart

Gold

Author

Jason Sen

Jason Sen

DayTradeIdeas.co.uk

Jason Sen began his career in the options pits on the trading floor of LIFFE in 1987 at the age of 19, making markets on his own account. In 2001 when the trading floor closed he successfully made the transition to day trading on computer screens.

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