|

FTSE 100: Support at 6,980

FTSE 100 (#UKX)

The FTSE 100 ended the week up + 0.54%.

For the week ahead we confirm our target at 7,150.

Indicators

This week the index broke the intermediate resistance at 7.020, retest it and then proceed to the upside. We believe the conditions are in place for a further extension up to 7,150 where the index could then move downwards.

MACD crossed to the upside along with a RSI which broke the bearish trend line.

The 50MA has played the role of a barrier in the last few days, exceeding it would confirm ever more our target.

Support at 6,980.

Resistance at 7.165.

FTSE

FTSEMIB (#FTSEMIB)

The FTSEMIB had a positive week up + 1.18%.

For the week ahead, we expect a retracement to at least 25,200. A strong break of it could bring the FTSEMIB to 25,000.

Indicators

The FTSEMIB managed to recover ground and close above the 50MA, a positive sign that confirms the upward trend.

Bullish confirmation is given both by the MACD which has crossed to the upside and is approaching 0, and by the RSI which has broken through the resistance at 54 and is now seating above it.

The index managed to break the bearish channel in place since the beginning of June 2021, for this reason we expect a re-test and then a continuation to the upside.

Support at 24.930.

Resistance at 25.554.

FTSE

DAX (#DAX)

The DAX ended the week with a slight fall of -0.19%.

For the week we expect a consolidation between 15,680 and 15,430: a break of these two levels will lead the index to stronger moves in either directions.

Indicators

After the strong bullish push from the support level, the index settled around the 50MA. MACD is basically flat and RSI has not managed to overcome the resistance level at 54.

There are currently two possible scenarios: a bullish one that sees in this formation a "bull flag" with an overcoming of the 50MA and following push to current resistance.

From a bearish point of view, on the other hand, the failure to re-test 15,700 could highlight a weaker trend that could curve downwards in the short term.

The intermediate levels of 15,680 and 15,430 will be fundamental to understand the following targets of the DAX.

Support at 15.306.

Resistance at 15.736.

DAX

S&P 500 (#SPX)

The S&P 500 had a week down slightly by -0.35%.

For the week ahead, we expect a retracement to 4,360.

Indicators

The index, after reaching a new high, could now test previous levels given a MACD that is losing momentum and seems to want to cross to the downside. This is combined with an RSI that is in strong divergence with the price if we compare the levels between 2 and 29 July 2021.

The trend remains strongly bullish but a retracement of it could offer further long positions. We see a first bearish target at 4.360, an intermediate support/resistance level.

Support at 4.390.

Resistance at 4.468.

SP 500

NASDAQ 100 (#NDX)

NASDAQ had a week down -0.61%.

For the week ahead, the index could track down to 14.827. A strong break of this level could lead the index to 14,500.

Indicators

The Nasdaq after testing a new high could be set a slight retracement. The MACD is signalling a gradual descent despite a very bullish trend and the RSI is showing a strong divergence with the price when we compare the levels between 7th and 29th July 2021.

We could mention a possible "head and shoulders" formation with the neckline at 14,420 but it is still too early to confirm it.

For the short term we expect a retracement to the current support.

Support at 14.827.

Resistance at 15.226.

NDX

Dow Jones (#DJI)

DOW JONES had a week down -0.37%.

For the week ahead, we expect a retracement to 34,600.

Indicators

The index was again rejected by the strong resistance level at 35,096 and in the short term we expect a retracement to 34,600, a level that coincides with both the 50MA and the bottom of the upward channel.

MACD seems to want to cross to the downside along with a RSI which has been rejected by the resistance level at 60.

Support at 34.261.

Resistance 35.096.

DJI

Author

Francesco Bergamini

Francesco Bergamini

OTB Global Investments

Francesco, BSc Finance and Msc in Business Management, graduated with Merit, is a professional with experience in the financial services industry and a keen interest in the financial markets.

More from Francesco Bergamini
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.