Analysis for September 23rd, 2014
EUR USD, “Euro vs US Dollar”
Euro is forming an ascending structure towards level of 1.2877. Later, in our opinion, the market may fall to reach level of 1.2845. After such pattern, we’ll estimate if the price has a potential to continue an ascending correction towards level of 1.3388. The first target is at level of 1.2993. If this ascending movement isn’t strong enough, an alternative scenario suggests that the market may reach a new low.
GBP USD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”
Pound is forming the fifth wave of an ascending structure. We think, today the price may reach level of 1.6400 and then fall towards level of 1.6343. Later, in our opinion, the market may grow to break level of 1.6400 and form a consolidation structure in the form of a continuation pattern with the target at level of 1.6550.
USD CHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”
Franc is still forming a consolidation structure near the top of its ascending wave. We think, today the price may fall towards level of 0.9340 and then complete this ascending wave by forming another ascending structure and reaching level of 0.9450. Later, in our opinion, the market may form a reversal structure to continue forming a descending wave.
USD JPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”
Yen is still forming a descending impulse. We think, today the price may reach level of 108.48 or even expand this impulse lower. Later, in our opinion, the market may start a correction to return to level of 109.00 and then form another descending wave to break the minimum of the first impulse. The first target is at level of 105.00.
AUD USD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”
Australian Dollar is still moving downwards. We think, today the price may test level of 0.8930 from below and then continue falling towards level of 0.8800 to complete this descending structure. Later, in our opinion, the market may start a higher correction with the target at level of 0.9100.
USD RUB, “US Dollar vs Russian Ruble”
Ruble continues moving inside an ascending structure; this ascending structure may be considered as a correction towards the previous descending impulse. We think, today the price may form another descending structure towards level of 38.08 and then return to level of 38.50. Later, in our opinion, the market may start another descending correctional structure.
XAU USD, “Gold vs US Dollar”
Gold is forming an ascending structure. We think, today the price may reach level of 1224 and then fall towards level of 1218. After such pattern, we’ll estimate if the market may form a reversal structure. If the price breaks it upwards, the market may start a correction towards level of 1300. If the price reaches a new low, an alternative scenario suggests that the market may continue falling inside the downtrend.
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Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD regains the constructive outlook above the 200-day SMA
AUD/USD advanced strongly for the second session in a row, this time extending the recovery to the upper 0.6500s and shifting its focus to the weekly highs in the 0.6580-0.6585 band, an area coincident with the 100-day SMA.
EUR/USD keeps the bullish performance above 1.0700
The continuation of the sell-off in the Greenback in the wake of the FOMC gathering helped EUR/USD extend its bounce off Wednesday’s lows near 1.0650, advancing past the 1.0700 hurdle ahead of the crucial release of US NFP on Friday.
Gold stuck around $2,300 as market players lack directional conviction
Gold extended its daily slide and dropped below $2,290 in the second half of the day on Thursday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield erased its daily losses after US data, causing XAU/USD to stretch lower ahead of Friday's US jobs data.
Bitcoin price rises 5% as BlackRock anticipates a new wave of capital inflows into BTC ETFs from investors
Bitcoin (BTC) price slid to the depths of $56,552 on Wednesday as the cryptocurrency market tried to front run the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The flash crash saw millions in positions get liquidated.
FOMC in the rear-view mirror – NFP eyed
The update from May’s FOMC rate announcement proved more dovish than expected, which naturally weighed on the US dollar (sending the DXY to lows of 105.44) and US yields, as well as, initially at least, underpinning major US equity indices.