|

Focus on oil and gold price

Oil

Oil prices have been declining over the past few days as investors fear that rising coronavirus cases are likely to dent demand in coming months as countries move to raise restrictions to combat the number of infections from climbing even further. In Britain, Denmark, and South Africa, cases of the new strain are doubling every two days. Denmark's Prime Minister, Mette Frederiksen, warned on Thursday that more restrictions would most likely be imposed in the coming days. Similarly, in the United States, companies have postponed employees' coming back to the workplace until cases show a declining trajectory.

However, despite market sentiment dropping ahead of the holidays, financial institutions expect demand to rebound in 2022 and oil prices to return to their rising trend. According to Goldman Sachs, the Omicron variant has had a narrow impact on mobility and projects demand for crude oil to shatter historical peaks over the next two years.

Gold

The precious metal performed well last week, breaking through the critical $1,800 level on Friday, as investors shifted to the safe haven commodity, which acts as a hedge against inflation and increased volatility in financial markets. The United States' economy is expected to slow down in the first quarter of 2022, causing stock markets to correct and investors to shift their capital out of equity markets and into gold. However, as the Fed moves to raise interest rates, the outlook for gold is likely to be bearish. Higher interest rates raise the opportunity cost of holding the precious metal, lowering its price.

Author

Naeem Aslam

Naeem Aslam

Zaye Capital Markets

Based in London, Naeem Aslam is the co-founder of CompareBroker.io and is well-known on financial TV with regular contributions on Bloomberg, CNBC, BBC, Fox Business, France24, Sky News, Al Jazeera and many other tier-one media across the globe.

More from Naeem Aslam
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD slips below 0.7000 as RBA hike fails to offset US election woes

The Aussie Dollar drifts lower against the US Dollar late on Tuesday as the US midterm elections are underway, while progress toward a potential diplomatic exit from the US-Iran war stalls after Iran denied claims it was close to a deal. The AUD/USD trades at 0.6965, down 0.44%.

USD/JPY fails near 159.00 amid weak USD, intervention risks

USD/JPY edges lower during Tuesday’s Asian session, reversing part of the previous day's gains to 158.00 as the US Dollar remains depressed amid hopes for Iran diplomacy and ahead of US midterm elections. Meanwhile, intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, though the uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike caps gains. This keeps the pair confined within a familiar range and warrants caution before placing directional bets.


Gold struggles near $3,900 as traders assess Middle East developments,US election risks

Gold (XAU/USD) loses momentum on Tuesday as Oil prices rebound after the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported a US strike on Iran’s Qeshm Island. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $3,909, down 0.93% on the day.

Bitcoin stuck between $77,000 and $80,000 as spot demand lags

Bitcoin could remain trapped between $77,000 and $80,000 in the near term, with rallies toward $81,300 likely to face selling pressure as spot demand remains weak, according to crypto exchange Bitfinex.

US Dollar Index edges up within range with midterm elections front and centre

The US Dollar Index is picking up from session lows but remains within previous ranges, below 102.00. The Greenback is drawing support from hostilities in Iran and higher Oil prices, but US political uncertainty is capping gains.

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.