|

EUR/USD: further slides below 1.0565

EUR/USD Current price: 1.0599

View Live Chart for the EUR/USD

Financial markets are all about Brexit this Monday, with risk aversion keeping equities under pressure and safe-haven gold and JPY on demand, amid renewed fears of a hard-Brexit. The greenback also benefited, in spite of Donald Trump's new battle against China, with the American currency up against all of its European rivals, and the minor-dollar's bloc. US markets will remain closed this Monday amid the Martin Luther King's holiday, which means there won't be macroeconomic releases. Action from that front, will resume during the upcoming Asian session, with data coming from Australia and Japan.

The EUR/USD pair fell in the European session down to 1.0578, as the dollar's benefited from Pound's sell-off, with the pair stabilizing afterwards around 1.0600. Technically, the pair presents a modest bearish potential in the short term, as in the 1 hour chart, the price is now below its 20 and 100 SMAs, with the  largest attracting intraday selling interest, whilst indicators hold within negative territory, although with no directional strength. A key support comes at 1.0565, the 23.6% retracement of the latest monthly slide, and it will take a break below it to confirm another leg lower later today. In the 4 hours chart, the price broke below a still bullish 20 SMA, whilst the Momentum indicator heads sharply lower within bearish territory, and the RSI hovers around 48, also indicating some further slides ahead.

Support levels: 1.0565 1.0510 1.0470

Resistance levels: 1.0650 1.0685 1.0710

GBP/USD Current price: 1.2058

View Live Chart for the GBP/USD

The Sterling plummeted at the weekly opening, and traded as low as 1.1986 against the greenback, undermined by renewed fears about a "hard-Brexit,"  following some week-end headlines suggesting that PM May will have no other choice. News suggested that the UK should leave to EU Single Market to secure free-trade deals with other countries across the world, and regain full control of the kingdom's borders. PM May will offer a speech this Tuesday, in which she will outline the government's Brexit strategy. The GBP/USD pair managed to recover at the beginning of the European session, setting a high of 1.2083, but overall, the bearish stance persists according to intraday technical readings, as in the 1 hour chart, the price is unable to advance beyond a bearish 20 SMA, the RSI indicator is resuming its decline around 39, and the Momentum indicator lost upward strength within neutral territory. In the 4 hours chart, the Momentum indicator maintains its downward slope as the RSI holds around 35, supporting the shorter term outlook, and favoring a new leg lower on a break below 1.2035, the immediate support.

Support levels: 1.2035 1.2000 1.1970

Resistance levels: 1.2085 1.2120 1.2165

USD/JPY Current price: 114.11

View Live Chart for the USD/JPY

Bearish pressure mounts on risk aversion. The Japanese yen rallied against the greenback in a risk-averse environment, leading the USD/JPY pair to post a fresh 6-week low of 113.61  during the London morning, although buying interest sub-114.00 quickly sent the pair back above the mentioned level. The negative tone in European equities, however, helps the yen to hold on to gains daily basis, with the pair at risk of falling further. Short term, the 1 hour chart shows that the 100 and 200 SMAs maintain their sharp bearish slopes well above the current level, whilst technical indicators hold within negative territory, with no certain directional strength. Additionally, the pair is now trading below the 23.6% retracement of the latest weekly bullish run at 114.50, the immediate resistance and the level to surpass to see the bearish pressure easing. In the 4 hours chart, technical readings also support further slides, as the 100 SMA accelerated its decline far above the current level, aiming to cross towards the downside the 200 SMA, while indicators remain flat within negative territory, amid limited volumes today.

Support levels: 114.00 113.65 113.20

Resistance levels: 114.50 114.85 115.20

AUD/USD Current price: 0.7478

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

The AUD/USD pair fell down to 0.7457 on the back of dollar's demand, but bounced back from the critical static support region, still trading in the red daily basis. Aussie's decline was limited by a solid uptick in inflation, as measured by the Melbourne Institute. According to the report, inflation grew by 0.5% in December, up from 0.1% in the previous month, while the YoY reading came in at 1.8% from previous 1.5%. From a technical point of view, however, the upside is limited in the short term, as the price remains capped by a modestly bearish 20 SMA, whilst the Momentum indicator is currently retreating from its mid-line, as the RSI hovers around 49. In the 4 hours chart, the price is aiming to recover above a bullish 20 SMA, the RSI is holding around 60 and the Momentum is heading lower within neutral territory, suggesting buying around the AUD remains strong, and that the market will take dips as buying opportunities.

Support levels: 0.7450 0.7410 0.7370

Resistance levels: 0.7495 0.7525 0.7560

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.