|

EUR/USD Forecast: US Dollar buyers fight back

EUR/USD Current price: 1.0895

  • Financial markets keep moving on sentiment related to central banks’ announcements.
  • United States Initial Jobless Claims resulted better than anticipated at 233K.
  • EUR/USD turns bearish in the near term, aims to extend its slide.

The EUR/USD pair trades around its daily opening in the 1.0920 price zone, showing little directional aims throughout the day. The US Dollar finds modest demand ahead of Wall Street’s opening, as the market sentiment deteriorated following the poor performance of United States (US) indexes on Wednesday. Asian and European shares edged lower, weighing on US futures

Overall, financial markets remain cautious amid increased uncertainty about upcoming central banks’ monetary policy decisions. Tepid macroeconomic data and shifts in policymakers’ tone fueled concerns and resulted in panic-related movements.

 The Eurozone did not publish relevant data, while the US just released Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended August 2, which decreased to 233K from a previously revised 250K, also beating expectations of 240K.

EUR/USD short-term technical outlook

The EUR/USD pair fell following the release of US employment-related data and pierces the 1.0900 mark. The daily chart shows it’s down for a third consecutive day and that technical indicators turned south, in line with the increased selling pressure. At the same time, the pair trades above all its moving averages, although the 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) has lost its upward strength and turned flat at around 1.0870. The case for a steeper decline seems limited, albeit a break through 1.0890, the immediate support level, could exacerbate the decline.

In the near term, and according to the 4-hour chart, the risk skews to the downside. EUR/USD retreated sharply after repeatedly meeting sellers around a flat 20 SMA, somehow suggesting buyers capitulate. Technical indicators, in the meantime, head firmly south within negative levels, supporting another leg lower.

 Support levels: 1.0890 1.0845 1.0800

Resistance levels: 1.0950 1.1005 1.1045

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds near 1.1800 after pulling back from three-month highs

EUR/USD holds gains for the third successive session, trading around 1.1790 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a persistent bullish bias, as the pair moves upward within the ascending channel pattern. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index stands at 71 (overbought), which could temper immediate upside as momentum stretches. An RSI overbought status would favor consolidation phases before trend resumption.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3500 as BoE signals gradual easing

The GBP/USD pair trades in positive territory near 1.3510 during the early European session on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling strengthens against the Greenback on expectations that the Bank of England will follow a gradual monetary easing path in 2026.  

Gold: Record rally sustains near $4,500 on safe-haven flows

Gold sustains the record-setting rally near $4,500 in the Asian session on Wednesday. The Israel-Iran conflict and the escalating US-Venezuela tensions boost safe-haven flows into Gold. Furthermore, US Q3 GDP data fails to lift the US Dollar amid growing bets for two Fed rate cuts in 2026, underpinning the non-yielding bullion. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple face downside risks as breakout attempts falter

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple continue to trade in red on Wednesday as recent breakout attempts lose momentum near key resistance levels. BTC failed to reclaim the $90,000, ETH slipped below $3,000, while XRP faced rejection near $1.96.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.