|

EUR/USD Forecast: US Dollar buyers fight back

EUR/USD Current price: 1.0895

  • Financial markets keep moving on sentiment related to central banks’ announcements.
  • United States Initial Jobless Claims resulted better than anticipated at 233K.
  • EUR/USD turns bearish in the near term, aims to extend its slide.

The EUR/USD pair trades around its daily opening in the 1.0920 price zone, showing little directional aims throughout the day. The US Dollar finds modest demand ahead of Wall Street’s opening, as the market sentiment deteriorated following the poor performance of United States (US) indexes on Wednesday. Asian and European shares edged lower, weighing on US futures

Overall, financial markets remain cautious amid increased uncertainty about upcoming central banks’ monetary policy decisions. Tepid macroeconomic data and shifts in policymakers’ tone fueled concerns and resulted in panic-related movements.

 The Eurozone did not publish relevant data, while the US just released Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended August 2, which decreased to 233K from a previously revised 250K, also beating expectations of 240K.

EUR/USD short-term technical outlook

The EUR/USD pair fell following the release of US employment-related data and pierces the 1.0900 mark. The daily chart shows it’s down for a third consecutive day and that technical indicators turned south, in line with the increased selling pressure. At the same time, the pair trades above all its moving averages, although the 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) has lost its upward strength and turned flat at around 1.0870. The case for a steeper decline seems limited, albeit a break through 1.0890, the immediate support level, could exacerbate the decline.

In the near term, and according to the 4-hour chart, the risk skews to the downside. EUR/USD retreated sharply after repeatedly meeting sellers around a flat 20 SMA, somehow suggesting buyers capitulate. Technical indicators, in the meantime, head firmly south within negative levels, supporting another leg lower.

 Support levels: 1.0890 1.0845 1.0800

Resistance levels: 1.0950 1.1005 1.1045

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks lower following the release of FOMC Minutes

The US Dollar found some near-term demand following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, with the EUR/USD pair currently piercing the 1.1750 threshold. The document showed officials are still willing to trim interest rates. Meanwhile, thinned holiday trading keeps major pairs confined to familiar levels.

GBP/USD remains sub- 1.3500, remains in the red

The GBP/USD lost traction early in the American session, maintaining the sour tone and trading around 1.3460 following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Ethereum: ETH holds above $2,900 despite rising selling activity

Ethereum (ETH) held the $2,900 level despite seeing increased selling pressure over the past week. The Exchange Netflow metric showed deposits outweighed withdrawals by about 400K ETH. The high value suggests rising selling activity amid the holiday season.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).