EUR/USD Current Price: 1.1790
- ECB left its monetary policy unchanged as expected, explained forward guidance.
- US data missed expectations, Initial Jobless Claim surged to 419K.
- EUR/USD retains the neutral-to-bearish stance in the near-term.
The EUR/USD pair is down on a daily basis, despite a better market’s mood. The shared currency took note of the European Central Bank’s dovish stance. As widely anticipated, the ECB decided to leave the interest rates on the main refinancing operations, the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility unchanged at 0.00%, 0.25% and -0.50%, respectively. Policymakers reaffirmed that the PEPP would continue to run significantly faster than at the beginning of the year.
On the so-long awaited new forward guidance, the Government Council noted that interest rates will remain at present or lower levels “until it sees inflation reaching two per cent well ahead of the end of its projection horizon and durably for the rest of the projection horizon, and it judges that realised progress in underlying inflation is sufficiently advanced.”
Meanwhile, the US published Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended July 16, which increased to 419K, missing the market’s expectations. The Chicago Fed National Activity Index printed at 0.09 in June, down from the previous 0.26. The country will publish Existing Home Sales for June later in the day.
EUR/USD short-term technical outlook
The EUR/USD pair peaked at 1.1813 right after the announcement and later fell to 1.1770. As President Christine Lagarde speaks, the pair seesaws between such a range, unable to firm up above 1.1800. The 4-hour chart shows that the pair keeps developing inside a descendant channel, offering a neutral-to-bearish stance. The pair is stuck around a mildly bearish 20 SMA while technical indicators hover around their midlines. Further declines are likely on a break below the weekly low at 1.1751.
Support levels: 1.1750 1.1720 1.1685
Resistance levels: 1.1840 1.1885 1.1920
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD recovers above 0.6750 after Australian jobs data
AUD/USD picks up a late bid and recovers above 0.6750 in Asian trading on Thursday, following the release of mixed Australian employment data. The extended post-Fed US Dollar recovery, amid a cautious market mood, could limit the pair's upside ahead of US data.
USD.JPY jumps toward 144.00 on the road to recovery
USD/JPY gains traction and approaches 144.00 in Thursday's Asian session. The uptick of the pair is bolstered by the impressive US Dollar recovery. Investors shift their attention to the US data and the Bank of Japan interest rate decision on Friday.
Gold price stalls post-FOMC pullback from all-time peak; lacks firm intraday direction
Gold price oscillates in a range on Thursday and consolidates the previous day's post-FOMC rejection slide from the $2,600 mark or a fresh record high. Persistent geopolitical risks, along with signs of economic trouble in the US and China, lend support to the safe-haven metal.
Ethereum attempts recovery following first rate cut in four years
Ethereum is trading above $2,330 on Wednesday as the market is recovering following the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Meanwhile, Ethereum exchange-traded funds recorded $15.1 million in outflows.
Australian Unemployment Rate expected to hold steady at 4.2% in August
The Australian Bureau of Statistics will release the monthly employment report at 1:30 GMT on Thursday. The country is expected to have added 25K new positions in August, while the Unemployment Rate is foreseen to remain steady at 4.2%.
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know
VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.