EUR/USD analysis: modestly higher short term, but 1.1820/30 key

Valeria Bednarik FXStreet

EUR/USD Current price: 1.1747

The EUR/USD pair managed to advance modestly this Monday, as half a holiday in the US, with Wall Street working, but pretty much everything else closed in the country, keeping majors within limited ranges. The pair ended the day marginally higher around 1.1750, merely 20 pips above Friday's close, with trading also restricted ahead of first-tier events that will take place later this week, starting this Tuesday, with the possibility of Catalonia declaring its independence from Spain, something the markets fear, but are still underestimating. Mid week, the Fed will release the Minutes of its latest meeting, while on Friday, it will offer final September inflation figures.

Data released this Monday in Europe was EUR-supportive, as German industrial production rose by more than expected in August, posting its biggest monthly increase in more than six years, up by 2.6% in the month, bouncing from July's 0.1% decline. When compared to a year earlier, production rose by 4.7%, from 4.2% in July. Also, the EU Sentix investor confidence jumped to 29.7 in October, its highest in 10 years, beating expectations of 28.5.

From a technical point of view, the pair has gained some bullish traction in the short term, but would take the price to settle above the 1.1820/30 strong static resistance area to see the pair actually turning positive and bulls daring for more. In the meantime, the 4 hours chart shows that the price advanced above 1.1730, which in the mentioned chart presents its 20 SMA, while the level also represents the 23.6% retracement of the April/September rally. Indicators in the mentioned chart head modestly higher after entering positive territory, supporting some additional gains up to the 1.1780 region, the immediate resistance. Below the mentioned Fibonacci support, on the other hand, the risk turns towards the downside, with scope then for a retest of the 1.1660 price zone.

Support levels: 1.1730 1.1695 1.1660

Resistance levels: 1.1780 1.1825 1.1850

View Live Chart for the EUR/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

FXStreet

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

GBP/USD consolidates recent losses around 1.3200

GBP/USD enters a bearish consolidation phase around 1.3200 in early Europe on Wednesday. The pair's rebound remains capped amid a broadly firmer US Dollar and chaotic UK political environment. The focus is now on BoE-speak for fresh trading impetus.

EUR/USD hits yearly low, eyes 1.1350 on USD strength

EUR/USD sits at yearly lows, eyeing 1.1350 in the European morning on Wednesday. The pair remains vulnerable to further declines amid a bullish US Dollar. The Greenback continues to draw support from hawkish Fed bets and US-Iran peace deal uncertainty.

Gold bounces off $4,050 but downside risks persist

Gold rebounds from a nearly two-week low of $4,050 in the early European session on Wednesday. Despite easing inflationary concerns in the face of the recent fall in Crude Oil prices, traders have been pricing in a greater chance of a rate hike by the US Federal Reserve, which will continue to limit the bullion's recovery.

Dogecoin tests a key make-or-break point amid waning retail support

Dogecoin trades below $0.08000 maintaining a steady decline for the seventh straight week. The meme coin is losing its retail strength as DOGE futures Open Interest drops 10% in 24 hours, while institutional demand remains muted with zero inflows so far this week.

"Rearranging the deckchairs on the Titanic": UK's fiscal crisis outlasts another Prime Minister

Keir Starmer's resignation as the UK Prime Minister comes ten years after the Brexit referendum vote, a coincidence that financial markets have been quick to note. The British Pound trades around 1.3220 against the US Dollar on Thursday.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.