We suspect we will see one more push lower in the US dollar index. But, it likely depends on whether or not stocks hold up. We remain open to the idea of a major risk-bid powering the dollar higher—which is our scenario for the next rally after a push down toward 95-level. However, said risk-bid could come at any time given the macro/political backdrop.

Dollarindex

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EUR/USD: positive mood could prevent the collapse

The shared currency has remained under selling pressure on Friday, amid mounting speculation the ECB will announce a larger-than-anticipated stimulus package next September. EUR/USD capped by a Fibonacci resistance at 1.1110, yearly low at risk.

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GBP/USD: economic disruption on a no-deal Brexit to weigh on Sterling

The GBP/USD pair has closed the week with gains, a handful of pips below the 1.2150 level. The Pound advanced for a third consecutive day, helped by some headlines indicating that Jeremy Corbyn, has been in talks with the Scottish National Party.

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USD/JPY: short-term advance to be capped by long-term jitters

The USD/JPY has recovered some ground these last few days, to close the week at 106.35. Still, it posted a lower low and a lower high when compared to the previous week, as the Yen benefited from its safe-haven condition on mounting concerns about a US recession. 

USD/JPY News

Four Signs of A Bear Market

I am a believer that the Universe gives you signs. That may sound a bit crazy, but these three charts are three more signs of a bear market. The top chart is the GLD exchange traded fund.

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Gold gives back territory towards a 23.6% retracement

Gold prices were a touch lower by the end of the week, falling -0.68% having travelled between a high of $1,528.00 to a low of $1,503.87, ending the NY session around $1,513. 

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