|

Cycle Trading: Stocks Print Bullish Reversal

I believe that stocks printed an intermediate cycle low on 10/29/18. The volatility since then has obscured our daily cycle count.  However, Thursday's bullish reversal may provide some clarity.

SP

With stocks closing below both the 200 day MA and the 10 day MA as it declined into the day 18 low looked in real team as if stocks were printing an early DCL.  But an 18 day DCL was really too early for a DCL to print.  On the other hand we have seen daily cycle lows form as early as day 23, so a DCL here on day 26 is certainly possible.

26 days would place stocks a bit early for the normal timing band for a DCL.  But following an extended daily cycle this would help to balance out the cycles.  There are also bullish divergences developing on the oscillators, which often occur at cycle bottoms.  So a swing low and close above the 10 day MA will have us label day 26 as the DCL.  A break above 2696.15 forms a daily swing low.

Author

LikesMoney

LikesMoney

Independent Analyst

Assets (such as stocks, gold, and the dollar) have identifiable cycles.

More from LikesMoney
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD turns negative near 1.1850

EUR/USD has given up its earlier intraday gains on Thursday and is now struggling to hold above the 1.1850 area. The US Dollar is finding renewed support from a pick-up in risk aversion, while fresh market chatter suggesting Russia could be considering a return to the US Dollar system is also lending the Greenback an extra boost.

GBP/USD change course, nears 1.3600

GBP/USD gives away its daily gains and recedes toward the low-1.3600s on Thursday. Indeed, Cable now struggles to regain some upside traction on the back of the sudden bout of buying interest in the Greenback. In the meantime, investors continue to assess a string of underwhelming UK data releases released earlier in the day.

Gold plunges on sudden US Dollar demand

Gold drops markedly on Thursday, challenging the $4,900 mark per troy ounce following a firm bounce in the US Dollar and amid a steep sell-off on Wall Street, with losses led by the tech and housing sectors.

LayerZero Price Forecast: ZRO steadies as markets digest Zero blockchain announcement

LayerZero (ZRO) trades above $2.00 at press time on Thursday, holding steady after a 17% rebound the previous day, which aligned with the public announcement of the Zero blockchain and Cathie Wood joining the advisory board. 

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Aster Price Forecast: Demand sparks on Binance Wallet partnership for on-chain perpetuals

Aster is up roughly 9% so far on Thursday, hinting at the breakout of a crucial resistance level. Aster partners up with Binance wallet for the second season of the on-chain perpetuals challenge.