|

Commodity prices set for new highs in June – What’s next? [Video]

Another day and another Commodity skyrockets to fresh record highs. That’s one of the most exciting trends of the Commodities Supercycle that we find ourselves in right now.

Traders are pumping more money into Commodities right now than at any time in the last decade, to capitalize on the four biggest and most explosive macro themes driving the Commodities Supercycle from Rapidly Surging Inflation, The Global Energy Shock, EV Revolution and Global Food Crisis.

One of the dominant themes of the current Commodity Supercycle that needs no introduction is the Global Energy Shock. This has captured the world's attention and positioned the energy sector as one of the most sought after asset classes this year.

Last week, EU leaders announced an agreement to ban 90% of Russian Crude imports by the end of the year – adding a further supply shock to an already under-supplied market. Simultaneously, China – the world’s second-largest economy and biggest importer of Commodities – officially ended a two-month lockdown on June 1.

Both these pivotal events immediately sent Oil prices surging back $120 a barrel, the highest level since March. Expectations are now running high, that the Oil market may see an identical V-shape recovery in demand as seen in 2020 when China previously ended lockdown. That event triggered an historic bull run taking Oil prices from sub $40 a barrel in April 2020 to a decade high of almost $140 a barrel in April 2022. That's a record-breaking gain of more than 450%, in the last two years.

Elsewhere in the Commodity markets, another star performer last week was Copper.

Copper which is a key metal in infrastructure, electric vehicles and renewable energy surged on Wednesday after China launched a $120 billion credit line for mega Infrastructure and Green Energy projects to stimulate the economy.

The cliché move, straight out of an old policy playbook, echoes similarities with President Biden’s ambitious ‘Infrastructure spending frenzy and Green Energy Revolution’, almost exactly a year ago – which played a monumental role in kick-starting the current Commodities Supercycle.

Ultimately, China’s mega Infrastructure and Green Energy push means one thing. China is going to need more Commodities and lots of them.

Specifically industrial metals including: Aluminium, Copper, Cobalt, Nickel, Lithium, Palladium, Uranium, Zinc and Rare Earth metals, just to name a few.

But as we know, for the first time in decades, the world is running out of Commodities at a record pace and facing an historic shortage off the back of a "triple deficit" – low inventories, low spare capacity and low investment.

China's growing appetite for Commodities is only going to exacerbate those issues and add further fuel to the Commodities Supercycle as global demand continues to outstrip supply.

To quote Warren Buffett, “the Commodity markets right now, represent one of the greatest generational opportunities of our lifetime, not to be missed.”

Where are prices heading next? Watch The Commodity Report now, for my latest price forecasts and predictions:

Author

Phil Carr

Phil Carr

The Gold & Silver Club

Phil is the co-founder and Head of Trading at The Gold & Silver Club, an international Commodities Trading Firm specializing in Metals, Energies and Soft Commodities.

More from Phil Carr
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD weakens as US jobs data trims Fed rate cut bets

The EUR/USD pair trades in negative territory for the third consecutive day near 1.1860 during the early European session on Thursday. Traders will keep an eye on the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims data. On Friday, the attention will shift to the US Consumer Price Index inflation report. 

GBP/USD bullish outlook prevails above 1.3600, UK GDP data looms

The GBP/USD pair gains ground near 1.3635, snapping the two-day losing streak during the early European session on Thursday. The preliminary reading of UK Gross Domestic Product for the fourth quarter will be closely watched later on Thursday. The UK economy is estimated to grow 0.2% QoQ in Q4, versus 0.1% in Q1. 

Gold remains on the defensive below two-week top; lacks bearish conviction amid mixed cues

Gold sticks to modest intraday losses through the Asian session on Thursday, though it lacks follow-through selling and remains close to a nearly two-week high, touched the previous day. The commodity currently trades above the $5,070 level, down just over 0.20% for the day, amid mixed cues.

UK GDP set to post weak growth as markets rise bets on March rate cut

Markets will be watching closely on Thursday, when the United Kingdom’s Office for National Statistics will release the advance estimate of Q4 Gross Domestic Product. If the data land in line with consensus, the UK economy would have continued to grow at an annualised pace of 1.2%, compared with 1.3% recorded the previous year. 

The market trades the path not the past

The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.

Sonic Labs’ vertical integration fuels recovery in S token

Sonic, previously Fantom (FTM), is extending its recovery trade at $0.048 at the time of writing, after rebounding by over 12% the previous day. The recovery thesis’ strengths lie in the optimism surrounding Sonic Labs’ Wednesday announcement to shift to a vertically integrated model, aimed at boosting S token utility.