Ipek Ozkardeskaya
Swissquote Bank Ltd
Recovery in bank stocks improved market sentiment on Monday.
Calm, and rally in bank stocks yesterday stabilized the market mood. Gold tipped a toe below $1950 per ounce, while the US 2-year yield flirted with the 4% mark – on bet that if the bank crisis is over, we could go back to our lives and worrying about inflation, again.
The S&P500 closed 0.17% up, while the rate-sensitive Nasdaq fell 0.74%. Of course, if the banking stress further eases, we should see sovereign yields recover a part of the recent retreat.
Yet, the pricing of recession is now in play, and equity markets, which have been relatively resilient to the bank stress – partly due to higher liquidity injected in the market to deal with it, remain vulnerable – as earnings estimates will more likely than not revised lower in the foreseeable future.
In energy, crude oil jumped past the $70pb level on bank relief and a legal problem in Turkish export port.
In cryptocurrencies, the narrative switched from Bitcoin being a safe haven in the context of bank crisis to being on a shaky ground due to Binance trouble with CFTC.
This report has been prepared by Swissquote Bank Ltd and is solely been published for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any currency or any other financial instrument. Views expressed in this report may be subject to change without prior notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by Swissquote Bank Ltd personnel at any given time. Swissquote Bank Ltd is under no obligation to update or keep current the information herein, the report should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment.
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