AUD/USD Forecast: Lifted by trade-war headlines

Valeria Bednarik FXStreet

AUD/USD Current Price: 0.6911

Australian data beat expectations, but the Aussie recovered on sentiment.
China to release October trade figures, focus on numbers with the US.
AUD/USD could gain bullish traction once above 0.6930.

The AUD/USD pair recovered the 0.6900 level in the last trading session of the day, after falling at the beginning of the week to a fresh weekly low of 0.6861. The Aussie fell amid doubts about the US-China trade deal after the leaders of both economies delayed their next meeting to December. However, sentiment shifted during the London session, as Chinese authorities confirmed plans to roll back tariffs in phases if a deal is reached, something that US representatives confirmed in the American afternoon.

Australia released the AIG Performance of Construction Index, which recovered in October to 43.9 from 42.6. September Trade Balance, in the meantime, posted an upbeat surplus of 7180M, as exports rose by 3.0% in the month, while imports also increased by 3.0%. During the upcoming Asian session, the country will release housing data and the latest RBA Meeting’s Minutes. However, attention will be on China, as the country will release its October Trade Balance.

AUD/USD short-term technical outlook

The AUD/USD pair is at the upper end of its weekly range, although the lack of follow-through leaves the intraday picture neutral. In the 4 hours chart, the pair is developing above a flat 20 SMA, anyway, far above the larger ones which retain their bullish slopes. Technical indicators in the meantime, remain around their midlines, without strength enough to support additions gains. These last are more likely on a break above 0.6930, the immediate resistance.

Support levels: 0.6885 0.6840 0.6800

Resistance levels: 0.6930 0.6965 0.7000

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

FXStreet

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

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